Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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789
FXUS64 KTSA 041049
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
449 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...

The 12Z TAF discussion is included below...

&&

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
High pressure at the surface will bring VFR conditions thru the
TAF period to all sites. No impacts to aviation are expected.

Lacy

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

DISCUSSION...
High pressure at the surface over the southern plains this morning
has resulted in a clear and cold night. As the high shifts south
and a weak upper wave passes to the north...winds will pick up
some out of the west this afternoon with the resultant downslope
flow leading to temps several degrees warmer for highs today.
Winds will then increase out of the south of Friday ahead of an
approaching wave in NW flow aloft with a few degrees of
additional warming. Moisture will remain limited with this wave
but perhaps just enough lift to result in a few areas of very
light rain. At this point thermal profiles look to preclude much
chance of winter weather. Weak front pushes through Friday night
and knocks a few degrees off temps for Saturday...but above normal
through the weekend.

Pattern amplifies early next week with potential for a more
significant cold front...likely a dry one...bringing a brief
return to below normal temps.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   50  30  55  32 /   0   0   0  20
FSM   49  27  55  33 /   0   0   0  20
MLC   50  29  55  33 /   0   0   0  20
BVO   49  24  54  29 /   0   0   0  20
FYV   44  26  51  31 /   0   0   0  20
BYV   44  28  52  32 /   0   0   0  10
MKO   49  29  54  33 /   0   0   0  20
MIO   47  26  52  31 /   0   0   0  20
F10   50  29  55  33 /   0   0   0  20
HHW   52  28  55  32 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...30



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