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000
FXUS64 KTSA 150841
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
341 AM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

.DISCUSSION...
ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH...CURRENTLY OVER WEST TEXAS EARLY THIS
MORNING...WILL CONTINUE LIFTING NORTHEAST INTO THE AREA TODAY AS
UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EAST. SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...COMBINED
WITH INCREASING CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY KEEP HIGH TEMPERATURES
CLOSER TO NORMAL AND SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY.
ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD...
COULD SEE A FEW STRONG STORMS AS MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO
STEEPEN AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH WITH DEEP MOISTURE ALREADY IN PLACE.

SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES INTO THE AREA. ANOTHER UPPER
DISTURBANCE FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS AROUND THE WEDNESDAY TIME
FRAME AS WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES. UPPER RIDGE WILL
BUILD BACK INTO SOUTHERN PLAINS BY LATE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S RETURNING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   88  73  90  71 /  40  20  30  60
FSM   89  72  91  72 /  20  20  30  30
MLC   88  72  90  72 /  30  20  30  30
BVO   88  71  90  70 /  40  20  30  70
FYV   86  67  87  67 /  30  20  30  50
BYV   87  69  88  68 /  30  20  30  50
MKO   87  72  88  72 /  30  20  30  50
MIO   88  70  89  68 /  30  20  30  70
F10   87  73  89  73 /  30  20  30  60
HHW   89  72  90  72 /  30  20  30  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....12