Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 191520
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1020 AM CDT Mon Jun 19 2017

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Surface frontal boundary has shifted south of the Red River this
morning with the precip having pushed into Northeast Texas by mid
morning. To the north...a weak vorticity center was dropping
southeast across Kansas within west northwesterly upper level
flow over top of surface high pressure. In response...cloud cover
associated with the surface boundary over Southeast Oklahoma and
cloud cover associated with the weak vorticity over Northeast
Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas were all pushing southeast across
the region.

Through this afternoon...cloud cover should continue to dissipate
over Southeast Oklahoma while additional cloud cover spreads over
Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. A few light areas of
sprinkles could be possible across parts of Northeast Oklahoma and
Northwest Arkansas as the weak vorticity center quickly moves
through the region. However...with drier low level air...not
expecting much if any to reach the surface and will keep mention
out of the forecast for now.

The additional cloud cover could also help to hinder max
temperatures a bit across parts of Northeast Oklahoma and far
Northwest Arkansas. Thus...have tweaked temps down a degree or two
over these locations with forecast highs in the low/mid 80s. To
the south over Southeast Oklahoma...mostly clear conditions this
afternoon should aid temperatures warming into the mid/upper 80s.
The rest of the forecast for the morning update seems to be
handing well at this time.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   86  67  92  69 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   88  68  94  68 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   88  65  92  67 /  10   0   0   0
BVO   84  61  92  65 /  10   0   0   0
FYV   83  60  88  62 /  10   0   0   0
BYV   83  62  89  65 /  10   0   0   0
MKO   86  64  92  67 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   83  62  92  66 /  10   0   0   0
F10   86  64  91  67 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   88  67  94  67 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....23



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