Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 040550
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1150 PM CST TUE MAR 3 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
LOW LEVEL COLD AIR WILL CHANGE PRECIPITATION TO BRIEF MIX
FREEZING RAIN/SLEET...PROLONGED PERIOD OF SLEET...AND EVENTUALLY
SNOW BEFORE ENDING. MVFR/IFR CIGS IMPROVING TO VFR FROM NW TO SE
LATE DAY EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 934 PM CST TUE MAR 3 2015/

DISCUSSION...
00Z NAM TRENDING TOWARDS THE 18Z GFS WITH HEAVIEST QPF FROM
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THIS ALIGNS WELL WITH
THE CURRENT FORECAST WITH THE GREATEST IMPACTS LIKELY TO BE WITHIN
THE WINTER STORM WARNING AREA. ONLY LIGHT AMOUNTS OF SLEET AND
SNOW APPEAR LIKELY NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER NORTHWEST OF TULSA WHICH
ALSO AGREES WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST. THUS NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED
TO THE GOING FORECAST OR TO THE WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES AT THIS
TIME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   28  30  15  34 /  80 100  50  10
FSM   41  43  21  34 /  90 100  90  10
MLC   37  40  22  35 /  80 100  90  10
BVO   24  27  12  35 /  80  90  30   0
FYV   30  32  16  31 /  80 100  70  10
BYV   29  31  14  30 /  80 100  70  10
MKO   33  36  17  33 /  80 100  70  10
MIO   25  28  12  32 /  80 100  40  10
F10   32  34  18  34 /  80 100  70  10
HHW   47  49  23  38 /  80 100  90  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT THURSDAY
     FOR OKZ049-OKZ075-OKZ076.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT THURSDAY
     FOR OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-
     OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-
     OKZ070-OKZ071-OKZ072.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT THURSDAY
     FOR OKZ053-OKZ073-OKZ074.

AR...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT THURSDAY
     FOR ARZ001.

     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT THURSDAY
     FOR ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011.

     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT THURSDAY
     FOR ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...21




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