Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 220017

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
717 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

Issued at 713 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

The main line of storms is moving east-southeast with the severe
threat weakening. Small area of t-storms too producing some heavy
rain nr Valley City moving ESE as well. Otherwise quieting down
and awaiting a cold front which is nr Minot to move east into the
RRV after midnight. Chc of storms with this but likely pretty
scattered with a diminished severe threat.


.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 341 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

Still many questions in regards to convection thru the night.
Boundary located from Red Lake MN west to near Cooperstown ND. a
bit more east wind north of this boundary from earlier convection
while south winds south of this boundary with temps mid 80s to low
90s. Sfc based cape 3-4k in the RRV but where storms are nr
Cooperstown/Carrington some cap exists and still not certain
storms are rooted in boundary layer yet. Storms east toward GFK
into Crookston was elevated.

Overnight storms that are expected to fire in Manitoba may drop
southeast into NE ND but that again is not certain.

Breezy and cooler Saturday with risk of a few showers or t-storms
in NW MN.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 341 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

Sunday a cool day compared to normal and then next wave with tstm
chance arriving into central/ern ND late Monday aftn and moving
east. For Tues-Fri relatively quite pattern.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 713 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

VFR thru the night with a light wind regime, except near storms.
Increasing NW winds Saturday.




LONG TERM...Riddle
AVIATION...Riddle is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.