Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 130835

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
335 AM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 335 AM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017

Will carry pre first period this morning to account for ongoing
light precipitation.

In the short term with ridge across the central Rockies...pattern
that is conducive to thunderstorms over western Nebraska. Irma
parked over Memphis early this morning with southerly flow from the
Gulf across the southern and central plains. Limited moisture
advection with this southerly flow. Surface trough again along the
front range of the Rockies. Temperatures will rise into the 90s this
afternoon and with heating of the day and weak impulse moving
through the upper atmosphere storms expected to fire along the trough
axis and move across western Nebraska through the evening. Highs in
the 90s this afternoon and lows in the

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 335 AM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017

Thunderstorm chances return on Thursday night as a front moves
across the region. Severe potential is expected to be low at this
time, however, a stronger storm is not entirely out of the question.
A series of shortwaves moving across the region will keep shower and
thunderstorm chances around through Saturday. As these systems move
off to the east, a cooler airmass will settle into the central
Plains. With 850 mb temperatures ranging from 8 to 13 degrees C on
both Saturday and Sunday, surface high temperatures will be on the
cooler side. Saturday will be the coolest day, as highs only rise
into the mid 60s across the Pine Ridge region and the low 70s across
the southern portion of the forecast area. Highs on Sunday rise
into the low to mid 70s across the area.

Dry weather on Sunday will be brief as isolated rain chances return
for early next week. At this time, will just keep showers isolated
as confidence is on the low side for development. Drier weather
returns on Tuesday and Wednesday as an upper level ridge builds
across the midwest. High temperatures return into the 80s for next


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1154 PM CDT Tue Sep 12 2017

A small area of showers and thunderstorms remains over a portions
of southwest Nebraska. This may move through the KLBF terminal to
begin the TAF period until 07z. Otherwise VFR conditions with
winds prevailing south to southeast up to 10 kts.




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