Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 240843

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
343 AM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today)
Issued at 321 AM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016

Surface high pressure over the northern into central plains early
this morning. Scattered cirrus moving east across western Nebraska.
Removed patchy fog from north central zones after sunrise with dew
point spreads 3F to 4F over the surrounding area. High pressure
will be recirculating cooler air from the east northeast through
the day with highs in the lower 60s north central to the low 70s
over the panhandle and southwest Nebraska. Winds will shift to the
southeast over the west late this afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 321 AM CDT Mon
Oct 24 2016

Appears to be a decent set up for patchy fog late tonight into
Tuesday morning as gulf moisture increases on southerly low level
flow. Also expecting stratus to develop/spread northward into the
region after midnight tonight. This may be slow to burn off across
southwest into central Nebraska Tuesday morning. Mild tonight with
southerly flow and increasing moisture (lows in the 40s). A
shortwave and associated Pacific cold front will cross the area
Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night. Limited instability and the
increase in moisture could yield a few showers or weak
thunderstorms across eastern portions of north central Nebraska
Tuesday afternoon and evening, but the better chances look to be
across eastern Nebraska.

Upper level ridging will then dominate the weather for the end of
the week into the weekend. Another weak disturbance and Pacific
cold front will cross the area Friday. Little moisture available
for this system to work with, and a dry frontal passage is
expected. Ahead of the system Thursday, a plume of very warm air
aloft will spread east, and highs could reach 80 degrees or better
across western Nebraska. Friday will be a few degrees cooler, but
still expecting 70s. Some weak cold air advection Friday night
will cool temperatures a little further for Saturday, but still
above normal for this time of year, with highs ranging from 60
degrees in O`Neill to 70 degrees in Ogallala. Warmer again Sunday
as more warm air spreads into the area from the southwest.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1122 PM CDT Sun Oct 23 2016

The ARW...NMM....HRRR and RAP models continue to show patchy fog
by morning along and east of highway 281. This would form near
sunrise and lift mid to late morning. Local IFR/LIFR is expected
with the fog and confidence is moderate for this event.

Otherwise VFR is expected all areas from 17z onward through 06z
Monday evening. Mid and high cloudiness will spread through
Western and North Central Nebraska. These clouds are associated
with an upper level disturbance moving through the Central




LONG TERM...Taylor
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