000
FXUS63 KFGF 281946
AFDFGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
246 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 245 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST CHALLENGE CONCERNS MAINLY TEMPERATURES. MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH NO REAL MODEL PREFERENCES.

INTO MIDWEEK REGION WILL REMAIN IN MID LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE. NO REAL THERMAL/MOISTURE PROFILE
CHANGES SO EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE A BIT BLO SEASONAL
AVERAGES. WITH SKC...RELATIVELY COOL COLUMN AND DEWPOINTS IN 50S
NIGHTS WILL BE COMFORTABLE.  ENOUGH MOISTURE IN THE 800-700 MB
LAYER FOR SCT-BKN AFTERNOON CU DEVELOPMENT TOMORROW.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

COLUMN WARMS SLIGHTLY WEDNESDAY WHICH SHOULD GET TEMPERATURES
BACK UP CLOSE TO AVERAGE.

WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATING AROUND HUDSON BAY LOW THURSDAY MAY BRING A
CHANCE FOR CONVECTION TO THE FAR NE FA SO MAINTAINED LOW POPS.
REMAINDER OF THE FA WILL SEE PERSISTENT CONDITIONS WITH PLENTY OF
SOLAR AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES.

FOR THURSDAY NIGHT THRU MONDAY LOOK FOR THE STAGNANT WESTERN RIDGE
AND EASTERN TROUGH PATTERN TO REMAIN IN PLACE ALTHOUGH THE RIDGE
WILL TRY TO INCH A BIT EASTWARD. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP
PREDOMINANTLY DRY WEATHER OVER THE FA. ONLY EXCEPTION MAY BE FOR
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY TRIES TO SAG INTO
THE NORTH. WILL KEEP SOME LOW PCPN CHANCES FOR THIS FEATURE. TEMPS
SHOULD STAY PRETTY CLOSE TO NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1226 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

STILL HAVE A PERSISTENT 6000FT CLOUD DECK OVER THE SOUTHERN RED
RIVER VALLEY. THINKING IT SHOULD BE GONE IN THE NEXT HOUR BUT IT
WILL BE REPLACED BY OTHER CUMULUS. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR THIS EVENING
WITH MORE CUMULUS AROUND LATER TUE MORNING. LOOKING AT STEADY NW
WINDS AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS EXCEPT CALM IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.


&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...VOELKER
LONG TERM...GODON/VOELKER
AVIATION...GODON