Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 291126

626 AM CDT Tue Jul 29 2014

Issued at 353 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

Very little change was made to this forecast package as below normal
temperatures are still expected to remain across the area through
the end of the work week. These cooler temperatures are around
mostly in part to a large mid level trough over the Great Lakes
region keeping the mid level trough well off to the west. Concurrent
with this large wave over the Great Lakes a surface ridge has nosed
into the forecast area bringing with it cool and dry air
characterized by temperatures in the middle 50s to lower 60s and dew
points in the middle 50s. Expect this pattern of daytime highs in
the 70s and 80s and lows in the 50s and 60s to persist through at
least the middle to late part of the week with mostly dry
conditions.  This main exception to the dry conditions will be
across far SW Missouri NW`ward toward EC Kansas and Central Kansas.
This rainy pattern is in conjunction with the southerly return flow
on the western periphery of the surface ridge. The main stream of
moisture will likely remain well west of the forecast area, however
there could be a period of some rain across EC Kansas and WC
Missouri, mainly south of the KC metro area Wednesday. Otherwise, as
noted above, the forecast will remain pleasant and dry through the
week. By next weekend the forecast area might come under more of an
influence of the western ridge, as opposed to the eastern trough,
which will result in warmer (and more seasonal) temperatures for
next weekend. Expect temps to gradually creep back into the middle
to upper 80s for the Sunday through Tuesday period.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday Morning)
Issued at 622 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

Expect VFR conditions for the entire forecast period at KMCI and
KMKC, with another hour or two of off and on MVFR/IFR VSBY at KSTJ.
By 13z, all terminals will remain VFR through the overnight period,
with KSTJ perhaps seeing another morning of off and on VSBY
restrictions. Cumulus field will likely form this afternoon around FL
050, but no CIG restrictions are expected through the next 24 hours.




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