000
FXUS63 KFGF 041302
AFDFGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
702 AM CST WED DEC 4 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 702 AM CST WED DEC 4 2013

AREA RADARS SHOWED LIGHT SNOW OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND WAS
MOVING NORTHEAST ABOUT 30 KNOTS. EXPECT LIGHT TOP MODERATE SNOW O
CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THIS MORNING IN ND AND INTO THE AFTERNOON
ON THE MN SIDE. SURFACE LOW OVER MO AND WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY AND
INTENSIFY. NO CHANGES TO CURRENT FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 359 AM CST WED DEC 4 2013

WATER VAPOR LOOP INDICATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST WAS DIGGING AS JET MOVES DOWN WEST SIDE OF TROUGH. ALSO
UPPER LEVEL LOW NOTED OVER NORTHERN NV AND NORTHWEST SASK AND A
SHORT WAVE OVER SOUTHEAST MT. MT SHORT WAVE TO MOVE ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PRECIPITABLE WATER WAS
UNDER HALF AN INCH AND IS FORECAST TO DECREASE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE MT SHORT WAVE WAS ESSENTIALLY AN OPEN WAVE AND CLOSES OFF AFTER
MOVING EAST OF THE AREA. INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
NORTHWEST MN INTO IA. INVERTED TROUGH TO SHIFT EAST TODAY. RADAR
SHOWED LIGHT SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF ND INTO ADJACENT PARTS OF MN AND
WAS MOVING NORTHEAST ABOUT 25 KNOTS.

INCREASED TEMPS COUPLE DEGREES FOR TODAY THROUGH FRI WITH CLOUD
COVER EXPECTED TO STAY AROUND. NO CHANGE TO THE WARNING. WILL KEEP
WARNING AS IS.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 359 AM CST WED DEC 4 2013

FOR SAT THROUGH TUE...IT LOOKS LIKE A VERY COLD PERIOD WITH HIGHS
NEAR OR BELOW ZERO...AND BITTERLY COLD OVERNIGHT LOWS. THERE WILL BE
A CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW MAINLY SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY...AHEAD
OF ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING ARCTIC FRONT AND COLDER AIR. NO MAJOR PRECIP
EVENTS EXPECTED THOUGH AS WE REMAIN DEEPLY ENTRENCHED IN ARCTIC AIR
THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS LIKELY AN ISSUE
ANYTIME THE WIND BLOWS SINCE IT WILL BE SO COLD.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 702 AM CST WED DEC 4 2013

IFR CONDITIONS WERE ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN ND WITH LOW VISIBILITIES
DUE TO SNOW. CIGS RISE TO 7 THOUSAND FT OVER THE FAR NORTHEAST
ZONES. EXPECT LOW CIGS TO SHIFT NORTHEAST THIS MORNING AS SNOW MOVES
NORTHEAST. WINDS WERE HIGHEST OVER THE WESTERN ZONES AND SHOULD
INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN BRISK OVERNIGHT.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR NDZ006>008-
     014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054.

MN...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR MNZ001>009-
     013>017-022>024-027>032-040.

&&

$$

UPDATE...HOPPES
SHORT TERM...HOPPES
LONG TERM...DK
AVIATION...HOPPES