Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 241805
AFDFGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
105 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1254 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015

VORT MAX OVER FAR NRN MN EARLY AFTEROON WITH SFC TROUGH OVER THE
FAR ERN FCST AREA MOVING EAST. CLEARING BEHIND IT WITH INCREASING
SUNSHINE SPREADING SOUTHEAST INTO WEST CENTRAL-NORTH CENTRAL MN.
WITH SUN....TEMPS REBOUNDING AND GENERAL UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S
LOOKING REASONABLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015

THE MAIN CHALLENGE WILL BE TEMPS AND CONVECTIVE CHANCES. MODELS
ARE IN OVERALL DECENT AGREEMENT...WITH NO PREFERENCE THIS MORNING.

FOR TODAY...EXPECT ALL CONVECTION TO EXIT THE EAST AROUND OR
SHORTLY BEFORE 15Z. TEMPS SHOULD WARM INTO THE LOW 80S FOR MOST
AREAS TODAY.

ON SAT...IT WILL BE A WARM DAY WITH HIGHS INTO THE MID AND UPPER
80S. IT SHOULD BE DRY WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015

FOR SAT NIGHT...A SHORTWAVE MAY BRUSH THE SOUTHERN FA WITH THE
THREAT FOR SOME CONVECTION.

ON SUNDAY...IT WILL CONTINUE WARM WITH AFTERNOON STORMS POSSIBLE
DEPENDING ON WHERE SFC BOUNDARIES SET UP.

FOR MON/TUE...THIS PERIOD COULD BECOME MORE ACTIVE WITH SEVERAL
SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH SW FLOW ALOFT. THE THREAT FOR STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS IS POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON EXACT TIMING OF SHORTWAVES
THROUGH THE REGION.

FOR WED/THU...THIS SHOULD BE A DRY PERIOD WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER
AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION BEHIND A COLD FRONT. IT SHOULD BE
DRY FOR THE MOST PART WITH TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW TO AROUND NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1254 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015

TEMPOS THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOME LINGERING MVFR CIGS ALONG AND EAST
OF THE VALLEY AS STRATUS HAS DEVELOPED IN A 2000 TO 3000FT LAYER.
VFR CONDITIONS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...RIDDLE
SHORT TERM...DK
LONG TERM...DK
AVIATION...JK


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