Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS63 KGID 290831
AFDGID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
331 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 305 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

THE PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN WILL CENTER AROUND THE CHANCE OF FOG
THIS MORNING. THE WIND IS VERY LIGHT AND AT TIMES EVEN CALM
ALLOWING FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING WITH A SFC HIGH SITUATED
OVER THE AREA. DESPITE THE RECENT DRY TREND LOCALLY WE HAVE
ALREADY NOTICED SOME PATCHY FOG NEAR OUR STATION ON THE OUTSKIRTS
OF HASTINGS. IF WE CAN HAVE FOG HERE OVER A DRY PASTURE WHERE WE
HAVE NOT HAD MORE THAN A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF RAIN IN THE PAST 3
WEEKS...THE CONDITIONS WILL BE EVEN MORE FAVORABLE FOR FOG NEAR
IRRIGATED FIELDS AND IN OUR NORTHEAST WHERE THEY HAVE HAD RAIN
MORE RECENTLY. AT THIS POINT WE BELIEVE THAT THE FOG WILL BE
RATHER PATCHY AND THERE IS NOT A LOT OF CONFIDENCE IN HOW POOR THE
VISIBILITY WILL GET...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW
SPOTS BRIEFLY REPORT VISIBILITIES DOWN TO LESS THAN 1 MILE.

ANY FOG AND LOW CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY SCATTER OUT BY AROUND 9 AM
WITH FULL SUNSHINE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THE DAY. THE
CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT AND THEN WILL ONCE AGAIN
HAVE TO WATCH OUT FOR SOME PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...PRIMARILY ACROSS EASTERN ZONES.

THE ABUNDANT SUNSHINE WILL HELP US SEE A LITTLE WARMER DAY TODAY
WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOWER 80S EAST TO THE UPPER 80S WEST.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

ALOFT: SOME SLIGHT PROGRESSION OF THE LONGWAVES WAS UNDERWAY. THE
RIDGE THAT DOMINATED OVER THE ROCKIES THIS PAST WEEK WILL HEAD
DOWNSTREAM...EXTENDING FROM THE SRN PLAINS INTO ERN CANADA FOR THE
NEXT WEEK. THE TROF OVER THE E PAC WILL ADVANCE INTO THE WRN USA AND
REMAIN PARKED THERE RESULTING IN DAYS OF SW FLOW OVER THE CNTRL
PLAINS. HOWEVER...THE WESTERLIES WILL REMAIN FAR TO THE N AND W. NO
NOTABLE SHORTWAVE TROFS OR QG FORCING IS FORESEEN ATTM.

SURFACE: HIGH PRES WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE ERN USA THRU THE
FCST. A COOL FRONT WAS MOVING ONTO THE W COAST ATTM. THIS FRONT WILL
MIGRATE THRU THE WRN USA WITH ITS TAIL END MOVING IN HERE MON
AFTERNOON-NIGHT...SLOWING AND THEN DISSIPATING. THE NEXT PAC COOL
FRONT WILL REMAIN TO THE W AND MAKE LITTLE PROGRESS E WITH THE SW
FLOW ALOFT. SO ESSENTIALLY THE FCST AREA WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR
THRU THE ENTIRE FCST.

WE`VE BEEN IN A DRY PATTERN FOR THE LAST TWO WKS. ENVISION NO CHANGE
TO THAT IN THIS FCST. CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE FEW...AROUND THE
DISSIPATING FRONT MON NIGHT-TUE NIGHT...AND THEN POSSIBLY FRI-SAT.
ANY TSTM ACTIVITY WILL BE VERY SPOTTY. MOST PLACES WILL REMAIN DRY.

TEMPS WILL AVERAGE ABOUT 5F ABOVE NORMAL.

THREATS FOR POTENTIALLY ADVERSE WX ARE MINIMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1248 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL CENTER AROUND THE POSSIBILITY OF LOW
CEILINGS AND FOG EARLY THIS MORNING. A FEW FORECAST MODELS SOCK IN
PRIMARILY NORTHERN AND EASTER ZONES WITH LOW CLOUDS AND FOG. AT
1230 AM THERE WAS A LOW CLOUD BANK ABOUT 25 TO 50 MILES EAST OF
KGRI AND THAT COULD SNEAK WEST INTO KGRI AND TO A LESSER EXTENT
KEAR AS WE NEAR DAWN. IF THIS HAPPENS THEN OUR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITY IN OUR TAF MAY NEED TO BE LOWERED EVEN MORE. IFR
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...BUT WILL LEAN MORE TOWARDS MVFR FOR NOW.
CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY IMPROVE WITHIN A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNRISE.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WESELY
LONG TERM...HALBLAUB
AVIATION...WESELY


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.