Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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030
FXUS63 KGID 080532
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1132 PM CST Wed Dec 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 328 PM CST Wed Dec 7 2016

The snow came to an end across the area early this afternoon.
Generally one county on either side of the Kansas/Nebraska state
line got between 1-2 inches, which is largely what was expected.
Generally one additional county on either side of the state line
got a few flurries to a half inch. Skies are beginning to clear
across south central Nebraska and north central Kansas with north
to northwesterly winds between 10 and 20 mph. Highs today have
struggled into the low 20s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 328 PM CST Wed Dec 7 2016

The main concern through this portion of the forecast is the
bitterly cold temperatures tonight into Thursday.

Skies will continue to clear through the night and north to
northwesterly winds will persist overnight. Winds will be stronger
across central and northeastern Nebraska. Overnight lows will be
in the single digits and the combination of those bitterly cold
temps with the northerly winds will cause wind chill values to be
-10 and -20 across most of the area. The coldest spot is expected
to be near Ord in Valley and Greeley counties where wind chill
values will approach -20. Because of this, have gone ahead and
issued a wind chill advisory for these two counties until 9am
Thursday morning.

Regardless of where you are though, the message is still the
same, it`s going to be very cold early Thursday morning and if you
must be outside, wear layers and limit your exposure.

After a bitter start, daytime highs Thursday will again struggle
to get into the 20s...with upper teens and low 20s across the
area.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 328 PM CST Wed Dec 7 2016

Thursday night - Friday:
Surface high pressure will move over the area throughout this
period, so again temperatures will be in the single digits early
Friday morning. The difference between Thursday morning and Friday
morning will be the light to calm winds Friday. This will keep
winds chill values slightly warmer than experienced Thursday
morning. That being said, values between zero and -10 are expected
across north central Kansas and south central Nebraska.

Southeasterly winds will return for Friday with mostly cloudy
skies. This will help temperatures be slightly warmer than
Thursday with highs in the 20s.

Saturday - Sunday:
Saturday will probably be the warmest day of the forecast with
southerly flow ahead of the next upper disturbance. This next
disturbance will dive southeast towards the area in northwesterly
flow aloft. Currently the main energy looks to stay across
northern Nebraska and South Dakota, and thus the majority of the
precipitation stays in those areas as well. There could be a small
chance for precipitation Saturday afternoon across mainly areas
north of I-80...and this would transition from snow to rain as
temperatures warm through the day. Highs on Saturday look to be in
the 30s and low 40s. Confidence on precipitation in this period is
not high.

The next cold front will dive through with the system Saturday
night causing yet again a drop in temperatures for Sunday. There
are discrepancies among the guidance, but there is a chance for
light snow in Kansas on Sunday afternoon. Again confidence is low
on the precipitation chances Sunday.

Monday - Wednesday:
The work week does not look overly pleasant as well...regarding
temperatures. Continued northwesterly flow aloft with multiple
disturbances moving across the central/northern plains will keep
cold air advection in place and highs will be in the 20s with lows
in the teens. A couple of these disturbances may bring a chance
for precipitation, but because of the discrepancies confidence is
not high in any period that there will be precipitation.
Confidence is highest in the cold temperatures and if
precipitation does occur, that it is more likely to be snow than
liquid.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 06Z Thursday)
Issued at 1132 PM CST Wed Dec 7 2016

Significant Wx: None.

Rest of Tonight: VFR SKC. NW winds 8-15 kts with occasional higher
gusts. Confidence: High

Thu: VFR SKC. NW winds 10-15 kts with occasionally higher gusts
before 18Z. Confidence: High

Thu eve: VFR. FEW-SCT clouds will begin to invade around 20K ft.
NW winds rapidly diminish and become lgt and vrbl. Confidence:
High

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Wind Chill Advisory until 9 AM CST Thursday for NEZ039-040.

KS...None.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Billings Wright
SHORT TERM...Billings Wright
LONG TERM...Billings Wright
AVIATION...Kelley



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