Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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000
FXUS63 KGID 281138
AFDGID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
638 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 317 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW A FEW SHOWERS AND MAYBE AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. THESE HAVE
BEEN DECREASING IN INTENSITY AND MOVING OUT OF THE AREA. SURFACE
ANALYSIS HAS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA WITH A COLD
FRONT TO THE SOUTHWEST FROM THE LOW.

THE SURFACE LOW AND COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE EAST
AND SHOULD BE OUT OF...OR NEARLY OUT OF...THE FORECAST AREA AS THE
SUN COMES UP THIS MORNING. THE UPPER LOW THAT BROUGHT THE
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS OVER NIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE TO THE EAST THIS MORNING. THE CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY. A
SURFACE HIGH BUILDS INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 406 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

IT WILL BE A WARM AND MAINLY DRY FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL GENERALLY AVERAGE OUT AROUND 2 TO 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
NORMAL HIGHS IN THE TRI CITIES ARE AROUND 83 TO 84 DEGREES WHILE WE
WILL SEE HIGHS OF 85 TO 89 EACH DAY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
KANSAS ZONES WILL SEE SEVERAL DAYS IN THE LOWER 90S. THERE WILL BE
JUST A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT. MOST
AREAS WILL LIKELY BE DRY THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE IN AND KEEP
THINGS DRY THIS WEEKEND WHILE HELPING TO ALSO PUSH THE TEMPERATURE
UPWARD.

TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG INTO THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW EDGING INTO THE NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL PLAINS. A WEAK SHORT WAVE WILL SLIDE NORTHEAST FROM THE
HIGH PLAINS TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES. CAN NOT RULE OUT A FEW ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS IS A VERY WEAK FEATURE AND EXPECT MOST AREAS
WILL LIKELY REMAIN DRY.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THE UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN STATIONARY
OVER THE WESTERN CONUS DUE TO A BIG BLOCKING RIDGE THAT WILL TAKE
SHAPE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS. WE WILL LIKELY REMAIN DRY...BUT WILL
ALLOW FOR SMALL POPS THURSDAY NIGHT BASED ON MODEL BLEND THAT BRINGS
A WEAK SHORT WAVE THROUGH DURING THAT TIME FRAME.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 632 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

LOW CLOUDS HAVE MOVED INTO THE TERMINAL AREAS BUT SHOULD BE MOVING
OUT IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS OR SO. THE FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH
AND NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. A
SURFACE HIGH WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AND WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT AND COULD BECOME MORE VARIABLE.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JCB
LONG TERM...WESELY
AVIATION...JCB


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