Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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000
FXUS63 KGID 292340
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
640 PM CDT THU SEP 29 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

Overall it will be a quiet and pleasant through tomorrow. Upper
level ridging and surface high pressure will continue to dominate
the forecast. Winds will be light and the low tonight will be in
the low 40s under mostly clear skies...allowing for nearly maximum
radiational cooling. Cannot rule out some upper 30s in portions of
central Nebraska similar to this morning. Also have included some
patchy fog along the Platte River Valley mainly Grand Island and
east. Highs will be near 70.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

Saturday - Monday:
The weekend through the first of next week look to be mostly
quiet with nearly seasonal temperatures. The upper low over the
Ohio Valley will continue to remain over the same area for much of
the weekend, but an upper level disturbance will move onto the
western US which will eventually help to kick the cut-off low
east. Surface high pressure will slowly move off to the east as a
lee low develops in the rockies throughout the weekend. This will
cause light winds to become more southerly. Temperatures will
generally be in the 70s during the day...slowly increasing from
the low 70s Saturday to the upper 70s by Monday.

There is a chance for some scattered showers/thunderstorms
Saturday evening over south central Nebraska and north central
Kansas, but confidence on how widespread this will be is low and
have left if out of the official forecast at this time. Cannot
rule out scattered activity though.

Tuesday - Thursday:
Tuesday is when things change, the next upper system will
approach from the west and will bring a decent chance for
precipitation to the region. The lee low will continue to deepen
and kick northeast as the upper wave moves over the Rockies. This
will bring a front and the chance for showers and thunderstorms
mainly Monday night through Wednesday. The upper low will slow
down as it moves over the Great Plains, but the majority of the
moisture will have surged eastward by Wednesday evening into
Thursday. It`s still to early to determine rain amounts, but this
does look to be the best chance for much of the area to get some
rainfall. Highs will not drop a lot with the frontal passage with
temps in the upper 60s and low 70s since this is not an arctic
airmass.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 636 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

VFR conditions are expected to continue throughout the TAF valid
period. There is a very small chance of some patchy fog in some
low areas tonight, but too low of a chance to mention in this TAF.
A southeast wind and clear skies will persist.

&&

.GID Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Billings Wright
LONG TERM...Billings Wright
AVIATION...Wesely


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