Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 261018
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
418 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 417 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

Main forecast challenge will be temperatures today and potential for
fog tonight.

Stuck some brief chance of flurries this morning in the pre-first
period over parts of Osborne and Mitchell Counties as some radar
returns near there are showing up. Model soundings indicate that we
are quite dry in lower levels, so most of any precip will be virga.
The lift will be brief as the subtle wave largely responsible
scuttles quickly east. Any mid-high level cloudiness early this
morning should move off quickly as subsidence takes over, giving us
a sunny day. Wind should be light, so the forecast relative humidity
of less than 25 percent in our southwest should not be a huge worry,
as long as the wind stays light. Superblend temperatures were too
cold and I suspect that the input included too much influence of
snow on the ground. Much of the snow already melted yesterday, and
judging by highs yesterday and with plenty of sunshine today, most
locations should have no problem making at least 40s for highs.

For tonight, the development of fog/stratus looked like it could be
an issue with increased moisture return, but the SREF and other
models seem to be backing off, with fog/stratus remaining
east/southeast of the CWA tonight with lows near 20 to the mid
20s, with the exception of Ord, where cold air should sink into
the valley and I expect a low closer to 12 in Ord. Still looks dry
for tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 417 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

The long term discussion will be available soon.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1151 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2017

VFR conditions are expected. Low-level wind shear should keep
east.


&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Heinlein
LONG TERM...Pfannkuch
AVIATION...Heinlein



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