Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 220819

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
319 AM CDT WED JUN 22 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Wed Jun 22 2016

Satellite and observations indicate there is cirrus moving across
the area early this morning. Radar shows a few showers skirting just
to the north of the forecast area and moving to the east southeast.
Surface analysis has a low pressure system in the northern pan
handle of Nebraska with a warm front extending to the east and a
cold front to the southwest.

The surface low is expected to move to the east. The cold front
should move into the northwest part of the forecast area by day
break. The front moves through the forecast area during the day and
is in central Kansas by evening. There is an upper level wave that
moves through the area as the front moves through. Continued a dry
forecast. There is a band of moisture that moves through the area
behind the front today. Expect there to be a few clouds. tonight
there is a weak surface high that builds into the northern plains.
This will bring clearing skies and lighter winds.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Wed Jun 22 2016

A low amplitude ridge axis will be in place across the interior
conus on Thursday with a surface front across central Kansas and
high pressure migrating eastward toward the Missouri River. A
shortwave trough translating across Kansas combined with the
boundary in place may generate showers and thunderstorms. The brunt
of this activity is expected to remain to our south especially
during the daytime hours with chances spreading northeast Thursday
night into Friday as the wave and frontal boundary lift north.

Temperatures heat back up Friday in ridging ahead of a potent low
pressure system moving out of the northern Rockies. An associated
cold frontal boundary crosses our region Saturday with temperatures
dependent upon frontal timing.  The front will be the focus for
convection over the weekend, then intermittent chances for storms
exist next week in northwest flow as the upper ridge begins to
rebuild over the Rockies.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1209 AM CDT Wed Jun 22 2016

There will be some low level wind shear through day break. A cold
front will move through the terminal areas this morning. Along the
front and for a while behind the front there could be some MVFR


.GID Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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