Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 252027
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
327 PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 322 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

The rain is slowly moving out of the CWA this afternoon.  Eastern
areas of the CWA will see the rain come to an end by the late
afternoon. Slow clearing is expected with CAA and dry air advecting
into the area.  Clear skies tonight and light winds will allow for
some isolated ground fog in some areas but otherwise, cooler and
drier conditions will prevail.  Tuesday and Wednesday look to be
stellar days with high temperatures near normal. Wednesday, the
winds will shift back to the North as a powerful cutoff low pressure
system in the Great Lakes region will be retrograde a little.  This
will promote some CAA and some scattered clouds to creep back into
the area.  Trimmed the highs for Wednesday some and the Wednesday
night lows a little to compensate.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 322 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

Thursday through Sunday look seasonable with temperatures near
normal. In other words, a beautiful autumn week. Chances for rain
will be minimal for the most part. Saturday looks to have best
chance for some isolated shower or thunderstorm activity as winds
turn back to the South. This will allow the moisture to kick back
up a little providing the fuel needed for the precipitation. At
this time the trigger looks weak for the CWA with a better chance
to the West. The model is slowing the next system down with each
successive run so removed POPs from Friday and left them for as is
for Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

The cold front is clearing the far southeastern corner of Kansas
as of midday. A corridor of rain showers, scattered to numerous
in coverage, will affect southeast Kansas through late afternoon
while shifting eastward. This convection is associated with the
850-700 mb frontal zone which will slowly shift southeastward into
this evening. Transient MVFR ceilings will be associated with
these showers at the CNU terminal this afternoon. Otherwise,
north-northwesterly winds gusting to 20-26 knots can be expected
behind the front this afternoon, then diminishing toward early
evening, as surface high pressure builds into the Central Plains.
Post-frontal mid-high level cloudiness should clear the southeast
part of Kansas overnight with VFR and clear skies prevailing into
Monday morning.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    47  72  47  78 /  10   0   0   0
Hutchinson      46  73  46  78 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          47  71  47  78 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        47  71  47  77 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   49  72  47  77 /  10   0   0   0
Russell         42  73  46  80 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      43  73  46  80 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          45  72  47  78 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       46  72  47  78 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     54  72  46  77 /  10   0   0   0
Chanute         51  71  47  77 /  10   0   0   0
Iola            50  71  47  77 /  10   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    52  72  46  77 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ELM
LONG TERM...ELM
AVIATION...JMC



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