Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KICT 251747
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1247 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

...UPDATED FOR 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 357 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS STATES WITH EXCESSIVE HEAT AND
HUMIDITY REMAINING ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
BEFORE A COLD FRONT USHERS IN UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR FOR MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 357 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

THE H85 THERMAL RIDGE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
SUPPORTING HIGHS IN THE 97 TO 104 DEGREE RANGE SENDING THE HEAT
INDICES INTO THE 102-107 DEGREE RANGE. A HEAT ADVISORY WILL REMAIN
IN EFFECT FOR TODAY AND LIKELY BE EXTENDED THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS
THE AREA. A ROGUE STORM OR TWO MAY DEVELOP ALONG A SAGGING COLD
FRONT ACROSS MAINLY CENTRAL KANSAS. THE NAM IS MORE AGGRESSIVE
DRIVING THIS BOUNDARY SOUTH WHILE THE GFS AND ECMWF KEEP IT NORTH
AND WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. MAINTAINED LOW POPS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS ALTHOUGH THE CAP MAY PRECLUDE DEEP MOIST
CONVECTION.

ANOTHER HOT DAY IS ANTICIPATED ON SATURDAY AS THE FRONT REMAINS
DRAPED ALONG THE NEBRASKA/KANSAS STATE LINE. MAINTAINED LOW POPS
ALONG THIS FRONT AS IS MOVES SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA SAT NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY SUNDAY. CONFIDENCE IN WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS REMAINS LOW AS
A CAPPING INVERSION IS PROGGED TO REMAIN IN PLACE. SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED ON SUNDAY BUT A RETURN TO UNSEASONABLY
COOL AIR IS EXPECTED ON MON.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 357 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

ANOTHER STRETCH OF UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA
THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH DRY WEATHER ANTICIPATED THROUGH AT LEAST
EARLY TUESDAY. THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL BECOME AMPLIFIED WITH A
LARGE TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES AREA AND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER
THE GREAT BASIN AREA. NORTHWEST MID/UPPER FLOW IS PROGGED ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND MAINTAINED LOW POPS TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK
AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS PROGGED TO DIG SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
AT LEAST THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1246 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

SFC TROUGH WILL PUSH SEWD THIS AFTERNOON INTO CENTRAL KANSAS
DIMINISHING THE GUSTY WINDS AT KRSL...MEANWHILE GUSTY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE AT ALL REMAINING TERMINALS THROUGH THE EVENING. THERE IS A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THIS TROUGH THIS
EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS...BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH
AT THIS TIME TO INSERT ANY CHANCES TO TAFS. GUSTY WINDS WILL THEN
RETURN TO THE AREA LATE IN THE PERIOD.

SANDERS

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT   102  77 101  76 /  10  10  10  20
HUTCHINSON     104  77 101  74 /  10  10  20  20
NEWTON         102  76 100  74 /  10  10  20  20
ELDORADO       100  76  99  74 /  10  10  10  20
WINFIELD-KWLD  101  76 100  76 /   0   0  10  10
RUSSELL        104  75  99  72 /  10  20  20  20
GREAT BEND     104  76 100  72 /  10  20  20  20
SALINA         106  78 101  74 /  10  10  20  20
MCPHERSON      104  77 101  74 /  10  10  20  20
COFFEYVILLE     99  74  98  76 /  10   0  10  10
CHANUTE         98  75  97  75 /  10  10  10  20
IOLA            97  75  96  75 /  10  10  10  20
PARSONS-KPPF    98  74  98  76 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ032-033-047>053-
067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

$$







USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.