Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 150053
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
653 PM CST Thu Dec 14 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 211 PM CST Thu Dec 14 2017

Current satellite/radar imagery shows upper level wave moving
southward across the Central Plains with scattered light rain
showers. Some of these light rain showers will spread southward
across Central Kansas this evening with a few pockets of a rain/snow
mixture possible later this evening. No impacts should occur with
this activity.

Warmer temperatures will return to the region for Friday and
Saturday with high confidence of above normal temperatures. A second
weather system will move into the area for Saturday night/Sunday and
bring decent rain chances to the eastern half of Kansas.
Southeast Kansas will have the better chances of more meaningful
rainfall. The precipitation should remain in liquid form with
this system, but there is a slight chance for a change over to a
light rain/snow mix Sunday evening. Once again not anticipating
any impacts to occur since any precipitation would be very light
on Sunday evening.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 211 PM CST Thu Dec 14 2017

Another upper level wave will be on the heels of Sunday`s system,
however models show this system shearing out as it lifts northeast
towards Kansas from the Southwestern States on Monday. Therefore we
will maintain dry weather conditions through much of next week.
Temperatures look to remain above normal through Wednesday but long
range models are suggesting much colder air surging southward into
Kansas for Thursday/Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 642 PM CST Thu Dec 14 2017

A shortwave trough moving across the area will bring continued
chances for a few sprinkles before winding down late this
evening. Ceilings are expected to remain VFR although a transient
MVFR cig may impact any of the TAF locations briefly. With
increasing large-scale forcing for subsidence after midnight,
lower clouds in the 3000-5000 ft range should diminish although
some transient mid and high clouds may linger through the
overnight hours. Breezy northwest winds will back to the southwest
on Fri with speeds of 10 to 20 mph common.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 211 PM CST Thu Dec 14 2017

Very High Grassland Fire danger will affect portions of Central
Kansas Friday afternoon, and mainly South Central and Southeast
Kansas on Saturday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    27  53  31  61 /  20   0   0   0
Hutchinson      26  55  30  60 /  20   0   0   0
Newton          26  51  31  59 /  20   0   0   0
ElDorado        27  51  33  59 /  20   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   27  52  32  60 /  10   0   0   0
Russell         21  57  28  60 /  10   0   0   0
Great Bend      22  56  29  61 /  10   0   0   0
Salina          26  54  32  59 /  30   0   0   0
McPherson       26  54  30  60 /  20   0   0   0
Coffeyville     29  49  32  59 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         29  48  33  59 /  10   0   0   0
Iola            29  48  33  58 /  10   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    29  48  32  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...MWM
FIRE WEATHER...CDJ


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