Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 290755
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
255 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 249 AM CDT Sun May 29 2016

Elevated showers and storms may develop this morning as a subtle
area of H85 moisture transport noses into Southern Kansas ahead
of a subtle shortwave trough approaching from the Southern Rockies.
Confidence in timing/coverage remains fairly low and maintained
low pops across much of the area through the day. Any activity
developing over Central KS this afternoon/evening may spread
eastward across South Central Kansas tonight although confidence
in coverage remains fairly low. Another mild day is anticipated
with highs in the low to mid 80s.

Monday-Tuesday...We may see a break in the action on Monday although
the airmass is progged to become quite unstable during the afternoon
hours. The primary focus for storm development will be the dryline
which is progged to remain well west of the area across the High
Plains of Western Kansas. Due to weak cinh...we may still see a
diurnally driven storm or two, so pops were trended down across the
area. Better chances for deep moist convection may arrive across
Central KS Monday night as the LLJ/H85 moisture transport ramps up
once again. By late Tuesday...a shortwave trough moving over the
Northern Plains will drive a cold front south bringing increasing
chances for deep moist convection through Tuesday night.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 249 AM CDT Sun May 29 2016

A dry post-frontal regime will develop across the area on
Wednesday and persist through the remainder of the period. Highs
will remain below normal through the remainder of the work week
with readings in the 70s. Another frontal passage is expected on
the weekend which may bring a brief round of showers and storms
but confidence in timing remains too low to mention at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1125 PM CDT Sat May 28 2016

VFR conditions will prevail for all TAF sites across Central/South
Central Kansas for the next 24hrs. Meanwhile some mid-level clouds
will spread into South Central Kansas Sunday morning and early
afternoon. Also could see a few showers/storms over South Central
Kansas.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    82  61  82  63 /  30  30  30  30
Hutchinson      80  60  81  62 /  30  30  30  30
Newton          81  61  81  62 /  30  30  30  30
ElDorado        82  63  81  63 /  30  30  30  30
Winfield-KWLD   82  63  81  64 /  40  30  30  30
Russell         80  57  81  60 /  30  30  30  50
Great Bend      82  58  81  61 /  30  30  30  40
Salina          82  59  83  62 /  30  30  30  40
McPherson       81  59  81  62 /  30  30  30  40
Coffeyville     84  64  82  64 /  30  30  30  30
Chanute         83  64  82  63 /  30  30  30  30
Iola            83  64  82  63 /  30  30  30  30
Parsons-KPPF    84  64  82  63 /  30  30  30  30

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...CDJ


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