Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 180421
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1121 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

At H5 Ridge over the Desert Southwest and a strong Bermuda High.
Closed upper low north of the Great Lakes. Weak wave moving across
the northern plains with scattered showers from the Dakotas to
Nebraska. Surface cold front from Northern Michigan to southeast
Kansas this morning and scattered thunderstorms along the front.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

Models in fair agreement with the near term solutions. Models have a
couple of weak waves moving through in northwest flow. Showers this
morning moving around 50kts. Continued cold air advection with
surface high pressure building into western Nebraska and showers
ending this evening. Mid level instability with the possibility of
elevated thunder. Cool again tonight with lows in the 40s and 50s
and showers ending. Continued cool on Sunday with highs only in the
70s and northwest winds continuing.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

Highs rebounding as upper ridge to the west moves east. Northwest
flow continues with highs in the 80s. Lows in the 50s. Tuesday the
upper ridge continues to push east with highs rising into the 80s
north and 90s south. Return flow on the backside of the surface high
and some moisture return and dewpoints climbing into the 50s. Highs
Wednesday in the 90s with dew points increasing into the lower 60s.
Cold front moves through Wednesday afternoon with the chance for
thunderstorms. Wednesday night cooler with lows in the 60s. Cooler
Thursday highs in the 80s. Chance of storms again Thursday night as
an upper low move across south central Canada and sends another
round of cool air through the northern plains. Numerous waves moving
through flow behind the upper low with chances for thunderstorms
Thursday night and Friday. Highs trending down with highs in the 80s
Friday and Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1110 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

Latest satellite imagery shows mostly clear skies north of the
Interstate 80 corridor. Elsewhere, satellite and surface plot
shows mostly cloudy skies with predominantly high-end VFR
ceilings (greater than 8 kft). Local radar display shows isolated
showers and thunderstorms moving eastward south of I-80 with
infrequent lightning. KIML recorded a hundredth over the last
hour with measurable precipitation occurring. Current thinking is
this activity will taper off gradually over the next few hours.

Rest of tonight, mostly clear skies will prevail outside of
lingering clouds across southwest NEB (mainly mid-level clouds).
Northwest winds will increase tomorrow morning with modest breezes
continuing during the day. Strongest winds over north central NEB
with peak gusts to 20 MPH. Winds should lessen in the early
evening. Also, sky cover will increase across western NEB during
the evening hours tomorrow though ceilings will remain VFR.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

North Platte River above McConaughy will continue high through the
weekend.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Power
SHORT TERM...Power
LONG TERM...Power
AVIATION...ET
HYDROLOGY...Power



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