Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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000
FXUS63 KLBF 251137 AAA
AFDLBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
637 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 347 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

COOL FRONT JUST ENTERING THE NORTHWEST NEBRASKA PANHANDLE EARLY
THIS MORNING. LOOKING AT OBSERVATIONS AND LAPS DATA SURFACE
TROUGH JUST OVER NORTH PLATTE. COOL FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH
THE DAY WITH NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING OVER NORTHWEST ZONES
THROUGH THE MORNING. BROAD LIFT WITH THE FRONT BUT NOT TOO
IMPRESSIVE. HAVE LEFT THE FORECAST DRY FOR THE DAY AS THE FRONT
MOVES SOUTH. HIGHS SUBSTANTIALLY COOLER TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 MOST AREAS. WARMEST TEMPERATURES OVER
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA ALONG THE KANSAS BORDER. DRIER AIR FILTERING
IN BEHIND THE FRONT WITH TD`S IN THE 40S AND 50S OVER THE
NEBRASKA SANDHILLS WITH LOW 60S FROM ONEILL TO NORTH PLATTE AND
EAST. IR HAS MID AND HIGH CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN COLORADO
AND SOUTHEAST WYOMING TODAY. MASSIVE SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE FRONT
AND HAVE MOST PLACES MOSTLY CLEAR TODAY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
BUILDS TO THE WEST THROUGH THE EVENING WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
INCREASING. UPPER RIDGE HAS FORECAST AREA IN FAST ZONAL FLOW
TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH NUMEROUS MID LEVEL WAVES MOVING THROUGH THE
NEBRASKA SANDHILLS OVER NIGHT. CONVECTION TO FIRE ALONG THE FRONT
RANGE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A STATIONARY BOUNDARY WITH
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST INTO THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE AND
CONTINUING OVER THE NORTH THROUGH THE EVENING. BEST CHANCES
THROUGH THE NEBRASKA SANDHILLS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80 OVER NIGHT.
HAVE RETAINED SLIGHT CHANCES WITH A COUPLE OF SMALL CLUSTERS
MOVING THROUGH. LOWS GENERALLY 60 TO 65 OVER NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 347 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

DEPARTING SHORT WAVE WILL STILL CAUSE A CHANCE FOR PRECIP OVER N
CENTRAL NEB EARLY IN THE DAY ON SATURDAY. MEANWHILE A REINFORCING
COLD FRONT WILL WORK ACROSS THE AREA LATE. MORE CLOUDS ACROSS THE
NORTH AND COOLER AIR BEGINS TO FILL IN DURING THE
AFTERNOON...WHICH SHOULD HOLD HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S...MAYBE 90.
SW NEBRASKA WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES HIGHS INTO THE LOWER TO MID
90S.

COOLER HIGH PRESSURE TO DIVE ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND WITH A TREND DOWNWARD OF TEMPS. HIGHS FOR SUN IN THE
LOWER 80S NORTH TO UPPER 80S SOUTH. THE HIGH WILL ALSO USHER IN
DRIER AIR SO FORECAST IS DRY. BY SUNDAY NIGHT LOWS DIP INTO THE
50S...WHILE MONDAY HIGHS ONLY REBOUND INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER
80S.

MONDAY NIGHT THE SFC HIGH WILL PUSH TOWARDS THE MID TO LOWER
MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY WITH RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW ALONG THE FRONT
RANGE. THIS WILL USHER IN MORE MOISTURE AND PRECIP CHANCES RETURN
TO THE FORECAST...INITIALLY OUT WEST...THEN SPREADING EAST. AS
THE HIGH CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST...HEIGHTS WILL RISE. A SLOW WARM
UP IS EXPECTED FROM MID WEEK INTO THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK. A
FEW DISTURBANCES WILL RIDE THE NW FLOW ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
WEEK WHICH WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS FOR ISOLD TO SCT THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 635 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

A COOL FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA TODAY.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH TE MORNING WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 30 MPH. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE FEW THROUGH THE DAY AND
INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVER THE
NEBRASKA PANHANDLE AND MOVE INTO THE WESTERN NEBRASKA SANDHILLS
OVER NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ISOLATED IN NATURE AND
CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH THAT THEY WILL BE CARRIED AT EITHER KVTN OR
KLBF AND HAVE LEFT OUT OF TAFS FOR NOW.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...POWER
LONG TERM...MASEK
AVIATION...POWER







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