Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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000
FXUS63 KLBF 272039
AFDLBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
339 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 338 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

STRONG RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN. CLOSED LOW OVER THE
GREAT LAKES. PRECIPITATION SHIELD FROM THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY
THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST AND TO THE WEST ALONG THE GULF COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 338 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

QUIET FORECAST IN THE NEAR TERM AS BETWEEN THE EXITING SURFACE HIGH
AND COLD FRONT ENTERING THE FAR NORTHWEST TONIGHT. MODELS IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT WITH A WARMING TREND TO OCCUR. TONIGHT MOISTURE
AVAILABILITY DECREASES AS FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN FORECAST
AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TURNING TO THE
SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING. TONIGHT LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST TO MID 60S
SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTH CENTRAL.

SUNDAY THE COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS SOUTHEAST FOR INCREASING
SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE EXITING SYSTEM. FEW CLOUDS...LIGHT WINDS AND
HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING INTO THE MIDDLE 80S NORTH TO AROUND 90
SOUTHWEST.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 338 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT IN THE MID TERM SOLUTIONS AND SOME TIMING
ISSUES IN THE LONG TERM. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
DOMINATE WEATHER PATTERN OVER WESTERN NEBRASKA SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE AND DRY CONDITIONS. LOWS MAINLY IN THE 50S
SUNDAY NIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
AGAIN ON MONDAY OVER WESTERN NEBRASKA WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND
TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S. SURFACE LOW MOVING
OUT OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON MONDAY AND INTO NORTHERN PLAINS ON
TUESDAY. RIDGE MOVES EAST AND WARMER TEMPERATURES MOVING IN WITH
HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S. TROUGH AXIS INTO THE
NEBRASKA PANHANDLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH WARM FRONTAL
BOUNDARY NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. OVER NIGHT LOWS IN THE 60S.
CHANCES FOR THE CAP TO BREAK ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS OVER THE
PANHANDLE AND ALONG THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA. LINGERING SHOWERS OVER NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA WEDNESDAY
MORNING. STRONGER WAVE DROPPING OUT OF NORTHWEST FLOW INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS ON THURSDAY. HIGHER POPS RETAINED THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. AFTERNOON AND NIGHTTIME THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY MAINLY OVER SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA HIGHS IN THE
80S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1225 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

VISUAL FLIGHT RULES FORECASTE THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AT TERMINALS
KLBF AND KVTN. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WHERE A COLD FRONT WILL
ENTER THE FAR NORTHWEST PANHANDLE THIS EVENING AND PROCEED TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST TO NEAR A LINE FROM VTN TO OGA BY MIDNIGHT. LIGHT WINDS
AND LITTLE MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THE BOUNDARY FOR FEW CLOUDS
THROUGH THE PERIOD.


&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 338 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

THE SOUTH PLATTE AND PLATTE RIVERS CONTINUES TO SHOW GAGE READINGS
ON THE FALL. ON THE NORTH PLATTE IRRIGATION RELEASES WILL WHERE
FORECASTS ARE FOR THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER AT NORTH PLATTE TO REMAIN
BELOW THE FLOOD STAGE OF 6 FEET. FOR THE LATEST FLOOD PRODUCTS...SEE
THE CURRENT CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS ONLINE AT
WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LBF

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...POWER
SHORT TERM...KECK
LONG TERM...POWER
AVIATION...KECK
HYDROLOGY...KECK






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