Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 211721
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1221 PM CDT Mon Jul 21 2014

...Update to Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 221 AM CDT MON JUL 21 2014

The main weather story for today and Tuesday will be warmer
temperatures and more humidity followed by decent rain chances for
the middle of the week.

The upper level ridge of high pressure will build across the
southern and central Plains region through Tuesday. Temperatures
will be a few degrees warmer today and almost near seasonable
averages for late July. Temperatures on Tuesday will be in the
lower to middle 90s. Heat index values will between 100 to 104 on
Tuesday. It will definitely be some of the warmest weather so far
this summer but not quite to heat advisory criteria. No headlines needed
for this forecast update.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 221 AM CDT MON JUL 21 2014

A shortwave will ride over the ridge and through the Midwest and
Great Lakes Region on Wednesday. This will bring down a front and
a decent chance for showers and thunderstorms late Tuesday night
through Wednesday evening. No severe weather is expected. Behind
the front...temperatures will be a few degrees cooler on Thursday
and Friday

Temperatures look seasonably warm through the weekend with
another front moving into the area over the weekend. This will
bring another chance for rain. Long range guidance continue to
indicate a deep trough developing over the Midwest and eastern
U.S. early next week which will bring much cooler temperatures
once again to the Missouri Ozarks.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2014

For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFS...A cloud deck developed across
northwestern Arkansas into far southern Missouri this morning and
is slowly moving east and may affect the Springfield and Branson
areas this afternoon. This cloud deck will begin to mix out and lift
early this afternoon, and only expect scattered cloud cover as
this cloud deck dissipates as it moves east.

Otherwise VFR conditions are expected through Tuesday morning, as
south to southwesterly winds occur.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Wise






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