Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 300446
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1146 PM CDT Wed Jul 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Thursday)

A drier and cooler airmass was spreading into extreme southeast
Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks this afternoon. So far, no
convection has fired along this cold front, currently at 230 PM
located roughly along southern Missouri`s Highway 60 corridor.

The airmass is still capped as the RUC40 is showing a corridor of
25 j/kg of mixed layer inhibition along the front. We can not rule
out scattered thunderstorm development this evening and overnight,
therefore we kept some minor pops going. The better signal appears
to be over southeast Kansas and western Missouri, but even this
area is questionable.

Temperatures tonight will fall into the 60s in most locations,
with low 70s expected near the Arkansas border.

For Thursday, some lingering showers will be possible early in the
morning, then clearing up completely by mid day. Look for
fantastic weather with highs in the 80s. The air will feel much
more comfortable with less humidity expected.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)

The long term forecast looks very dry as the Ozarks remains
positioned under northwest flow. This pattern will offer
temperatures very close to seasonal normals.

Highs Friday and into the weekend will range from the upper 80s to
around 92 degrees on an afternoon basis. Overnight lows will fall
into the 60s and low 70s.

By Monday we start to heat up once again as height rises build in
from the western ridge. Heat indices will range from the mid 90s
to around 100 degrees Monday through Wednesday. Some minor
precipitation chances will be needed with the increase in moisture
levels, and the possibility of a frontal boundary lingering around
the area.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1146 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG TAFS: VFR conditions expected through the taf
period. Some mid and high level moisture in the wake of the cold
front has manifested itself into a scattered to broken deck of
clouds in the 5K-8K foot range over the taf sites this evening.
Expect these to persist through much of the night before settling
south of the area Thursday morning as drier air continues to
advect in from the north. With just some higher clouds expected
from late morning on and generally light easterly winds below 10
knots.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Raberding





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