Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 241956
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
256 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 0256 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2015

Surface high pressure will be the dominate weather feature through
Tuesday. This will provide very pleasant late August weather for
southeast Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks.

Mid level clouds this afternoon will give way to clear skies
tonight. With the high overhead, lights winds and a dry airmass in
place will have superb radiational cooling conditions. Guidance
temperatures consistent in the lower to middle 50s, and cannot rule
out some upper 40s in the valley locations across the eastern
Ozarks. Records lows for August 25th are generally in the lower 50s.
See climate section below for records.

With the surface high overhead and a northerly upper level flow,
expect sunny skies Tuesday but below normal temperatures with
highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. All in all a very pleasant
period.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 0256 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2015

Northerly upper level flow and high pressure at the surface will
continue into Thursday. However, later on Thursday a shortwave will
begin to flatten the ridge over the plains and then traverse
eastward late Thursday into Friday night. Although the main wave
tracks across Iowa into the Upper Mississippi River Valley a weak
surface boundary slips through the area. This will bring a chance
for showers and thunderstorms to the region from Thursday night
through Friday. Some lingering showers may hang around into
Saturday with weak troughing over the area. After that upper
ridging begins to build back across the area into early next week
with more quiet but seasonable weather.

Below normal temperatures expected through much of the period with a
warming trend late this weekend into early next week as the ridge
re-establishes itself.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1143 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2015

Pilots can expect VFR conditions to prevail at area terminals
through Tuesday as surface high pressure dominates our weather.


&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 0256 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2015

Here are some record low temperatures for August 25:

Springfield......50 in 1958
Joplin...........53 in 1958
Vichy/Rolla......51 in 1958
West Plains......51 in 1958

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Raberding
LONG TERM...Raberding
AVIATION...Foster
CLIMATE...Raberding


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