Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 181123 AAA
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
623 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2014

...Updated Aviation Section...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 213 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

An upper level shortwave is currently over the eastern Missouri
Ozarks and moving off to the east this morning. Most areas were
seeing cloudy skies and scattered sprinkles were being reported
around the area. Most of the measurable rainfall has ended across the
area and a gradual clearing from northwest to southeast will occur today but
will hold on to a slight chance for a shower or two through the
morning hours mainly across far southern Missouri.

Warmest  temperatures will occur across southeast Kansas and west
central Missouri and coolest readings will be over south central
Missouri where cloud cover will hold on the longest. With clearing
skies tonight and light winds tonight...temperatures will fall close to
the dewpoints and this may lead to some patchy fog tonight and
early tomorrow morning especially valley regions and near bodies
of water.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 213 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

Heights will rise as upper level ridging moves in this weekend.
Temperatures will slowly rebound back to more seasonable values by
the end of the weekend into early next week. The summer time
muggies will return to the Missouri Ozark. The center of an upper
level ridge will be over the western High Plains by mid next week.
A shortwave will move over the ridge and through the Upper Midwest
and Great Lakes Region by Wednesday and Thursday. It will also
bring down a weak front which will bring a chance of showers and
thunderstorms by mid next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday Morning)
Issued at 623 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

Patchy fog across portions of far southwestern Missouri will
continue to flirt with JLN for the next few hours. Otherwise,
conditions will quickly improve across the region today with VFR
expected much of this forecast. Mid/high level clouds will persist
across the region today with winds becoming southeasterly. Heading
into tonight, enough ground moisture will support a light fog risk
at JLN, otherwise VFR is expected at SGF/BBG.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 300 PM CDT THU JUL 17 2014

Here are the forecast and record cool highs across the area:

     This Afternoon (7/18)
              Forecast  Record
Springfield     77      75 (1933 and 1937)
Joplin          78      76 (1967)
West Plains     76      75 (2002)
Vichy           79      73 (2009)

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Gagan
CLIMATE...Griffin






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