Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KABR 160525 AAC
AFDABR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1225 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.UPDATE...
SEE UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.


&&
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
NOT MUCH TO DISCUSS TODAY. A 1025 MB HIGH OVER THE REGION IS
KEEPING CONDITIONS SUNNY AND DRY. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL SLOWLY SHIFT
OVER THE PLAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD BRINGING A WARMING TREND. H85
TEMPS WILL CLIMB FROM CURRENT SINGLE DIGITS TO THE UPPER TEENS ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY IN THE WESTERN CWA. AT THE SFC THIS WILL
TRANSLATE TO HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S ACROSS THE REGION. ON
WEDNESDAY A LEE SIDE TROUGH WILL DRAW UP SOME MOISTER AIR ON SOUTH
TO SOUTHEAST FLOW SO THERE MAY BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD
COVER...MAINLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CWA.


.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY
THE PERIOD BEGINS WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CONUS WITH MILD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HIGHS
ON FRIDAY COULD BE WARMER THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED DUE TO A WEAK
S/W CROSSING THE REGION. A STRONGER S/W CROSSING THE REGION LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BRING A DECENT CHANCE OF PCPN FOR EASTERN SOUTH
DAKOTA. THE GFS ENSEMBLES HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH PCPN
AFFECTING EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING
FOR SOME TIME NOW. WITH GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE GFS/ECMWF HAVE
INCREASED POPS SLIGHTLY OVER ALLBLEND. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
BUILDING INTO THE REGION BEHIND THIS TROUGH WILL BRING DRY AND
WARMER CONDITIONS TO THE CWA.


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS FOR THE KABR...KATY...KPIR AND KMBG TERMINALS

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH
THE DAY TUESDAY.


&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$
SHORT TERM...WISE
LONG TERM...SD
AVIATION...PARKIN

WEATHER.GOV/ABERDEEN





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.