Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 152346
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
646 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.AVIATION...
00z TAF Cycle:

VFR conditions expected through the period with mostly clear
skies. Winds will be light and variable through most of the night
before a more prominent southwest wind increases through the day
tomorrow. Winds are expected to gust to around 25kts during the
afternoon Monday.

Ward

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 250 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017/

DISCUSSION...
One more chilly night across the Panhandles tonight as large scale
descent in the column with a surface high pressure system over the
southern TX Panhandle allows winds to diminish to light and
variable with clear skies under an already cold airmass in the
wake of the passing cold front from earlier today. In the early
morning hours on Monday, good radiational cooling will occur that
should allow temperatures to drop into the mid 30s across the SW
TX Panhandle. This region will be under a Frost Advisory from
midnight until 9 AM Monday, which does include the city of
Amarillo.

Once we go past 9 AM Monday morning, SW surface winds will return
and temperatures will rebound nicely across the Panhandles with
highs into the 70s. Tranquil weather conditions are expected
throughout the remainder of the week with high pressure
influencing the Panhandles region. A deep trough will enter the
northwest Pacific coastline by the end of the work week. Latest
15/12Z model and probabilistic guidance shows a localized PVA max
detached from the main upper level feature and work its way east-
southeast along a progressing cold front by this up and coming
weekend. This maybe our next chance of seeing some showers and
storms as we go into the second half of Saturday into Sunday ahead
and along the progressing cold front. Will monitor and update
forecast as we get closer with time. High temperatures starting
tomorrow through Saturday will be near to slightly above average.

Meccariello

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Monday for the
     following zones: Deaf Smith...Oldham...Potter...Randall.

OK...None.

&&

$$

7/15



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