Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 281800
AFDDDC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
100 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

...UPDATE TO SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 100 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

A FEW ISOLATED STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
EARLY THIS EVENING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING
SOUTHWARD INTO OKLAHOMA. OTHERWISE, SHORT RANGE MODELS INDICATE A
LARGE SCALE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINING LOCKED IN ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN THROUGH MONDAY ENHANCING A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE
WESTERN HIGH PLAINS. ALTHOUGH AMPLE MOISTURE REMAINS SETTLED
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS, A WEAK FLOW ALOFT AND SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS WILL LIMIT PRECIP
CHANCES ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BACK DOWN INTO THE 60S(F) ONCE AGAIN
TONIGHT AS ANOTHER ROUND OF COOLER AIR FILTERS SOUTHWARD INTO
WESTERN KANSAS IN WAKE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR MONDAY, THE WEAK SURGE OF COOLER AIR WILL LEVEL OFF
THE WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS ONCE AGAIN REACHING THE 90S(F) ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 323 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

A WARM UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL BEGIN TO
BREAKDOWN AS NORTHERN BRANCH SHORTWAVES MOVE INTO THE HIGH PLAINS
BEGINNING WEDNESDAY. VERY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S
WILL BE ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS AHEAD OF THE WEDNESDAY SHORTWAVE
TROUGH. THE WAVE WILL BRING A COLD FRONT ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH COOLER TEMPS INTO SATURDAY AND HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. STORM CHANCES INCREASE FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THE WEEKEND
WITH THESE UPPER LEVEL WAVES. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE MILD AND IN THE
MID TO UPPER 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. WINDS WILL TURN NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY 10 TO 20KT LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHES SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS. WINDS WILL THEN BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO WESTERN
KANSAS IN WAKE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  95  63  93  67 /   0  10   0   0
GCK  96  62  93  65 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  96  63  92  65 /   0   0   0  10
LBL  95  63  93  66 /   0  10   0  10
HYS  96  62  94  65 /   0   0   0   0
P28  98  65  95  66 /  20  20   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JJOHNSON
LONG TERM...KRUSE
AVIATION...JJOHNSON



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