Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 121247
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
647 AM CST Sun Feb 12 2017

...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 312 AM CST Sun Feb 12 2017

A dome of high pressure will continue to filter cold air into the
area through this afternoon bringing northerly winds to southwest
Kansas. Thereafter, the center of high pressure will slide
southward through Kansas decreasing wind speeds and shifting winds
to more of a southerly direction. Abundant upper level cloudiness
is expected today with more mid to low level cloudiness this
evening into the overnight period. This is in response to an upper
level low moving into the Southern Rockies. A slight chance of
precipitation will be possible across far southwestern Kansas
after sunset and spread northeastward after midnight. The
temperature should be cold enough for this precipitation to fall
as snow. However, little to no accumulation is expected.
Temperatures today will be closer to normal for this time of the
year with highs in the mid to upper 40s with lows tonight in the
upper 20s.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 312 AM CST Sun Feb 12 2017

Models are still on track to bring an upper level low through the
Southern Rockies and Southern Plains affecting southwest Kansas
Sunday night through Tuesday morning. Cloudy skies are anticipated
through Monday with decreasing cloudiness from north to south
Tuesday. Precipitation chances will first increase across far
southwestern Kansas Sunday night extending north and eastward
Monday. The best chance of precipitation will be along the KS/OK
border with decreasing chances as you head north. Temperatures
look to become cold enough for snow to fall early Monday morning,
then again early Tuesday morning. Precipitation changes over to
rain by Monday afternoon and early evening with a mix of rain,
sleet, and snow Monday night. Precipitation chances end Tuesday
morning with mostly clear skies anticipated by Tuesday evening.
Any precipitation that does fall is expected to be light with only
a few tenths of an inch of snow expected and only a few hundredths
of an inch of rain. The remainder of the long term period looks
dry with an upper level ridge sliding into the area by this
weekend. As for temperatures, highs Monday will generally be in
the 40s. Highs will then be in the low to mid 50s Tuesday with 60s
anticipated Wednesday into this weekend. Lows will generally be in
the 20s through Tuesday night, then increasing into the 30s by
this weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 642 AM CST Sun Feb 12 2017

North winds will persist through the day, becoming more gusty
through the morning, but weakening into the afternoon as the
gradient weakens. VFR category forecast for the rest of the TAF
period, although rain or more likely snow showers could be
approaching the area by the end of the 24 hour forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  48  29  43  29 /   0  30  30  40
GCK  47  27  43  28 /   0  30  40  30
EHA  46  26  42  29 /  10  40  40  50
LBL  48  27  42  30 /  10  40  50  50
HYS  47  27  46  28 /   0  10  30  30
P28  51  31  47  32 /   0  20  40  60

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Russell



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