Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 081137

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
537 AM CST Fri Dec 8 2017

VFR with light NW winds turning N by midday and increasing to
20 to 25 knots.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 342 AM CST Fri Dec 8 2017/

Northeasterly flow was in place across the forecast area this
morning as the upper level trough that has brought a plethora of
precipitation types across the state continues to slowly move off
to the east. The airmass at the surface is very dry but some mid-
level moisture is being pulled south on the back side of the
departing resulting in increasing cloud coverage. Temperatures
across the South Plains have already bottomed out before the
clouds arrived while the Rolling Plains will still have some time
to fall before clouds overspread this area. This will likely allow
min temperatures for most of the forecast area to make it into the
low teens, and I wouldn`t be surprised if a few locations in the
Rolling Plains flirt with single digits before the cloud cover
starts to increase. Thanks to the chilly morning low temps, clouds
through much of the day limiting insolation, and a weak front
pushing across the area, highs will probably struggle to make it
out of the 50s this afternoon.

Temperatures will finally start to warm up out of the cold pattern
that we have been in through the weekend with Sunday being the
warmest day with highs in the mid 60s to near 70. Westerly
downslope winds on Sunday and mostly clear skies should help to
make that the warmest day before we start to see cold fronts start
to push across the region again the first part of next week. The
first front should arrive Monday night which will help to bring
temps down but still remain around 5 degrees above normal for this
time of year. A quick warmup will ensue on Wednesday as westerly
flow develops ahead of the next front expected to arrive Wednesday
night into Thursday morning. Forecast will remain dry as westerly
flow ahead of any cold fronts will shunt low-level moisture east
of the area and little to no mid-level moisture to speak of.





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