Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 180829
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
329 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ELEVATED CONVECTION ACROSS NORTHERN/EASTERN KANSAS DEVELOPED
EARLIER ALONG AN 8H THETA-E GRADIENT PER RAP13. WINDS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO VEER SOME ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WEAKEN INTO THE
MORNING. EXPECT MOST OF THE CONVECTION WILL IMPACT EASTERN
OKLAHOMA THROUGH THE MORNING. OUTFLOW/PROPAGATION MAY RESULT IN A
FEW STORMS SKIRTING NORTH CENTRAL AND PERHAPS COUNTIES EAST OF A
SEMINOLE TO LAKE TEXOMA LINE.

ANOTHER AREA OF PRECIPITATION HAS DEVELOPED IN THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK CONVERGENCE AND BETTER MID-LEVEL
MOISTURE. THIS SHOULD GRADUALLY SHIFT SOUTHWARD THIS MORNING...BUT
STILL MAY BRING SOME RAIN TO WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN WITH REMNANTS OF ODILE. HAVE TRENDED WITH
THE EC THIS MORNING WHICH MOVES REMNANTS INTO MEAN RIDGE POSITION
WITH LITTLE OR NO HANDOFF INTO FASTER FLOW THIS WEEKEND. THIS MAY
SHIFT BETTER CHANCES FOR HEAVY RAIN INTO WESTERN/SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS WHERE RAIN IS NEEDED.

WILL KEEP SLIGHT/CHANCE POPS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK TO ACCOUNT FOR
CUTOFF LOW THAT LIFTS/OPENS NORTHEAST FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  90  69  88  69 /  30  10  10  20
HOBART OK         91  69  88  69 /  30  10  20  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  91  70  89  71 /  30  20  20  20
GAGE OK           90  66  87  67 /  10  10  20  50
PONCA CITY OK     89  69  89  70 /  20  10  10  10
DURANT OK         89  69  88  70 /  30  10  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$


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