Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 021632 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1032 AM CST MON MAR 2 2015

.UPDATE...
CHANGES TO WEATHER TYPE THIS MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WE HAVE REMOVED THE MENTION OF FREEZING DRIZZLE THIS MORNING.
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA ARE APPROACHING
OR HAVE REACHED 32 DEGREES. BY THE TIME WE GET DRIZZLE OR LIGHT
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT TEMPS SHOULD BE ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 AM CST MON MAR 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...
LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO HOLD ACROSS OKLAHOMA AGAIN TODAY WHILE
TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB A BIT HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY`S. LIGHT
DRIZZLE WILL OCCUR IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. MODELS
INDICATE THAT VERY LIGHT RAIN MAY MOVE SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. THERE ARE CURRENTLY RADAR ECHOES ACROSS
WEST TEXAS. AMOUNTS WOULD BE LIGHT. TUESDAY WILL BE A BIG
TRANSITION DAY. DEVELOPING SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE
OUT THE COOL AIR FROM WEST TO EAST; HOWEVER, A COLD FRONT IS STILL
SET TO ENTER NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AROUND MID-DAY BRINGING GUSTY NORTH
WINDS. RESIDENT MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BRING THE BETTER
CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS TO AREAS EAST OF I-35. THIS
WILL QUICKLY BE REPLACED BY COLDER AIR AND A TRANSITION TO
FREEZING RAIN/SLEET/ SNOW NORTH TO SOUTH. LIGHT AMOUNTS ARE
FORECAST AND PRESENTLY POPS IN THE MIXED PRECIP AREAS ARE LESS
THAN 50 PERCENT FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER, THE
APPROACH OF A FAST-MOVING WAVE IN THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF
WESTERLIES ON WEDNESDAY MAY GIVE BETTER CHANCES FOR ACCUMULATIONS,
BUT THE INFILTRATION OF DRIER AIR WILL PRESENT A TIMING ISSUE.
BEYOND WEDNESDAY, THE WESTERLIES RETREAT TO THE NORTH OF OKLAHOMA
AND THE AIRMASS WARMS AND DRIES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  39  37  57  26 /  10  30  20  40
HOBART OK         36  35  59  25 /  10  20  10  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  39  37  66  31 /  20  40  20  60
GAGE OK           38  37  49  19 /  10  10  10  30
PONCA CITY OK     40  37  51  21 /  10  30  30  30
DURANT OK         42  40  64  33 /  30  40  40  70

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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