Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KOUN 031951
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
251 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS FORMED EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A
COUPLE OF SURFACE BOUNDARIES...ONE IN NORTHWEST/NORTH-
CENTRAL/NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND ANOTHER SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER
IN TEXAS. SHORT-RANGE MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR
STORMS THIS EVENING WILL BE ALONG OUR
SOUTHEASTERN...WESTERN...AND SOUTHERN BORDER COUNTIES. THE SAME
MODELS GENERALLY REDUCE CONVECTION OVERNIGHT...BUT THE CHANCES DO
NOT GO COMPLETELY AWAY. SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
EVENING...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE IMPROBABLE.

AN UNCAPPED AND SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN
TOMORROW...AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN.

ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...A MUCH HIGHER CHANCE FOR RAIN AND STORMS
WILL ARRIVE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER-
LEVEL WAVE.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE MAINLY SEASONAL THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD...EXCEPT ON TUESDAY...WHEN WIDESPREAD STORMS AND CLOUDS
WILL LIKELY HOLD AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES
BELOW AVERAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  89  73  90 /  20  30  30  30
HOBART OK         70  92  73  94 /  20  20  20  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  73  93  75  95 /  30  20  10  10
GAGE OK           67  91  72  93 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     68  89  73  90 /  20  10  50  50
DURANT OK         71  90  73  89 /  50  50  20  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

26/23



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.