Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 011128
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
625 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.AVIATION...
01/12Z TAFS...WIND SHIFT REACH NW OK SITES THIS MORNING AS COLD
FRONT MOVES SLOWLY SE. OTRW...BRISK SOUTH/SW WINDS WILL PERSIST
ELSEWHERE. SCT TSTMS MAY DEVELOP BY LATE AFTN VICINITY OF THE FRONT
THEN BECOME MORE NUMEROUS TONIGHT ACROSS NRN OK. WILL INCLUDE TSRA
GROUPS AT NRN OK SITES TONIGHT WITH SOME BRIEF MVFR/IFR WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 347 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX MOVING THROUGH SERN KS EXPECTED TO STAY
MAINLY NE OF THE FA THIS MORNING...BUT WILL INCLUDE SOME LOW POPS
IN THE FAR NE FOR EARLY THIS MORNING. FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO NRN OK TODAY AND EXTEND FROM NCNTRL TO
WCNTRL OK BY LATE AFTN. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN
THE VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY BY LATE AFTN WITH THE BEST CHANCES IN
NCNTRL OK. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHERN OK...AS A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET INTERACTS
WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN OK LATE THIS AFTN/EVE WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT. BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO LIFT BACK
NORTHWARD TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT WITH STORM CHANCES AGAIN LIMITED
TO NRN SECTIONS OF THE FA.

DRY AND HOT WEATHER EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ACROSS THE
AREA BEFORE PRECIP CHANCES RETURN TO NW OK THURSDAY NIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FRIDAY/SATURDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES
SOUTHWARD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  97  74  95  73 /  10  20  20  10
HOBART OK         99  75  98  73 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX 100  76  99  74 /  10   0  10   0
GAGE OK           93  67  94  71 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     96  69  91  73 /  20  50  40  30
DURANT OK         96  75  95  72 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/02



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