Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 290335
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1035 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST
WIND.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 646 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST
WIND.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 221 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
NOT MUCH CHANGE TO GOING FORECAST AS MODELS REMAIN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT. ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY EXPECTED MONDAY BEFORE LARGE
CLOSED LOW OVER THE GREAT BASIN BEGINS TO IMPACT THE AREA.

LEAD S/W TROUGH EJECTS NEWD FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE CNTRAL/NRN
PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MAINLY NW OKLAHOMA. SURFACE TROUGH WILL
REMAIN OVER THE HIGH PLAINS ON TUESDAY WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
SLOWLY INCREASING AS SOUTHERLY FLOW PERSISTS EAST OF THIS
FEATURE. MORE SHOWERS/TSTMS POSSIBLE AS ANOTHER S/W TROUGH EJECTS
EWD OUT OF THE ROCKIES TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY. SHEAR WILL BE
FAVORABLE AND INSTABILITY MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY. PRECIP CHANCES CONTINUE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS A STRONGER WAVE DROPS SEWD
THROUGH THE PLAINS DRIVING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION.

DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT FRIDAY INTO
NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  63  87  64  88 /  10   0  10  10
HOBART OK         61  87  64  88 /  10   0  10  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  64  89  65  91 /  10   0  10  10
GAGE OK           57  85  61  86 /  10   0  30  30
PONCA CITY OK     60  86  63  87 /  10   0  10  20
DURANT OK         64  87  64  89 /  10   0   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

84/09/09



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