Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 300850
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
350 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF FOG WILL CONTINUE TO BE SEEN ACROSS MAINLY AREAS SOUTH OF
I-40 AND EAST OF I-35 EARLY THIS MORNING. DO NOT EXPECT ANY DENSE
FOG ALTHOUGH SOME SHELTERED/LOW-LYING AREAS COULD SEE BRIEF PERIOD
OF VSBY LESS THAN ONE MILE. OTHERWISE DECREASING CLOUDS THROUGH
THE DAY.

ALTHOUGH WE EXPECT MUCH MORE TRANQUIL/NON-SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH
THIS FORECAST PERIOD...WILL STILL SEE A PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED STORMS LATE SUNDAY THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF MONDAY. MOST
OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE SEEN ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AND THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF OKLAHOMA AS LOW AMPLITUDE S/WV PROGRESSES OVER REGION. H85
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO RED RIVER VALLEY
AT THIS TIME AND WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR CONCENTRATED RAINFALL. WITH
RECENT RAINS ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARTS OF
OKLAHOMA AND CURRENT SWOLLEN CREEKS/RIVERS...ANTICIPATED RAINFALL
WILL LIKELY AGGRAVATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING AREA EFFECTS. AT THIS
POINT RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED TO HEAVY ENOUGH FOR FLOOD WATCH
ISSUANCE. THIS WILL BE WATCHED CLOSELY ESPECIALLY IF TRENDS IN
HIGHER QPF WRF FORECASTS CONTINUE.

AFTER A RELATIVELY NICE WEATHER WEEK COMING UP...EXTENDED MODELS
ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH DEVELOPING HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH OVER
WESTERN U.S. AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR ACTIVE WEATHER NEXT
WEEKEND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  70  46  66  47 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         70  44  66  46 /   0   0  10  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  73  50  69  49 /   0   0  10  50
GAGE OK           65  39  59  40 /   0   0  40  50
PONCA CITY OK     69  44  66  45 /   0   0   0  30
DURANT OK         73  53  73  53 /  10   0   0  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

26/11



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