Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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388
FXUS64 KOUN 141734
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1234 PM CDT Mon Aug 14 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The 18Z aviation discussion follows....

&&

.AVIATION...
No major weather systems are expected to affect the weather over
central/western Oklahoma or western north Texas through the period.
This means light winds will be the rule, and any precipitation
that forms will probably be isolated and disorganized. As a
result, no mention is made of TSRA in the TAFs because confidence
in storms occurring at any given site is too low. Low level
moisture will remain over the region, and it appears probable that
stratus will form again overnight. The exact timing and
geographic area are not entirely clear, but something on the
order of 0900-1500Z over much of central and northern Oklahoma
seems fairly likely. Daytime heating should erode the cloud deck
from below.

CmS
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1219 PM CDT Mon Aug 14 2017/

UPDATE...
Decreased PoPs for the rest of the day. Please see the discussion
below.

DISCUSSION...
Showers will continue to shift eastward with the main vorticity
maximum this afternoon. Eastern and southeastern OK will see the
highest chances. Otherwise, subsidence on its backside should
limit any diurnal activity for most of the region. The exception
may be near any residual boundaries late this afternoon. This will
be difficult to pin down, however. Sky cover was also reduced
drastically along and west of I35 for the rest of the day, and
temperatures where also increased for the same reason and area.
All updated products are in the process of being sent.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  88  72  91  75 /  50  30  20  30
Hobart OK         91  72  93  74 /  30  30  20  30
Wichita Falls TX  93  76  94  76 /  30  30  20  30
Gage OK           91  69  92  71 /  20  30  20  30
Ponca City OK     90  71  91  76 /  20  40  20  30
Durant OK         91  76  91  75 /  80  20  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

03/23/23



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