Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 271745 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1245 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...27/18Z TAF ISSUANCE...
MVFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING AS A STREAM OF LOW
CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MAKE THEIR WAY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. CEILINGS SHOULD BEGIN TO LIFT THROUGH THE EVENING... WITH
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
BREEZY NORTH WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON... RELAXING
AND SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING. WINDS
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH... REMAINING LIGHT...
THROUGH THE MORNING ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA.

JTK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1034 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
LIGHT RAIN/SPRINKLES ARE STARTING TO DIMINISH ALONG THE BAND FROM
ENID TO ATOKA. THIS TREND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE...AND ALL RAIN
SHOULD END SHORTLY AFTER NOON.

AT THIS POINT...THE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE...AND NO
UPDATES ARE PLANNED THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 747 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

UPDATE...
UPDATE TO PRECIP/WX...

DISCUSSION...
OBSERVING RADAR TRENDS THIS AM ACROSS NRN INTO CENTRAL OK...
EXPANDED THE CHANCE FOR SPRINKLES ACROSS THE AREA... PRIMARILY
ACROSS NRN INTO E CENTRAL OK. WATCHING OBS ACROSS KS INTO NRN
OK... NO REPORTS OF MEASURABLE PRECIP HAVE BEEN REPORTED EXCEPT
FOR KEND AT 1150Z. WILL HOLD OF ON CONDITIONAL POPS FOR THE NOW...
AS THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND
THOSE LUCKY ENOUGH TO GET A FEW DROPS WILL LIKELY ONLY SEE A FEW
BRIEF SPRINKLES OR A FEW RAIN DROPS.

JTK

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 649 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

AVIATION...
12Z TAFS...NORTH WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL BECOME LIGHT
AND VARIABLE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. A SOUTH WIND WILL RETURN
DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MEANWHILE...MAINLY VFR CEILINGS
WILL PREVAIL WITH MID CLOUDS. PNC WILL HAVE MFVR CEILINGS THIS
MORNING. CLOUDS WILL DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MID CLOUDS MAY
INCREASE AGAIN OVERNIGHT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
NORTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS. WINDS WILL QUICKLY SHIFT BACK TO
THE SOUTH HOWEVER LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...
SPRINKLES MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH MID-LEVEL CLOUDS THIS MORNING...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

A FAST MOVING SYSTEM WILL ENTER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST LATE
TONIGHT AND WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY
EARLY SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH ANOTHER COLD FRONT THROUGH
MOST OF OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT IN
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AS THE SURFACE BOUNDARY
ENCOUNTERS BETTER MOISTURE.

A TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES AND MEXICO...IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS TEXAS ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING AN
INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND STORM/SHOWER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.

A WEAK FRONT WILL BRING ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS
MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY...WITH
PERHAPS A STRONGER FRONT ARRIVING FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  44  74  52 /  20   0   0   0
HOBART OK         64  43  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  66  46  80  54 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           66  42  81  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     57  40  71  47 /  30  10   0   0
DURANT OK         62  43  73  51 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/04/04


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