Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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035
FXUS64 KOUN 271723 AAB
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1223 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.AVIATION...
27/18Z TAFs. VFR conditions expected to prevail with light
southwest and west wind ahead of cold front. This front will move
through northern Oklahoma terminals after 12Z giving northerly
wind shift. There are a few of our METARS with lowered
visibilities. This is likely due to spider webs and not
meteorological restrictions.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 556 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016/

DISCUSSION...
12Z TAF discussion below.

AVIATION...
VFR conditions expected throughout the TAF period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 340 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Forecast remains dry until some low PoPs over the weekend into
early next week for parts of the area.

Radars show rain near I-20 in Texas (from near Abilene and areas
west) early this morning. This activity does appear to slowly be
lifting north but is not expected to move into the western North
Texas zones. Temperatures are expected to be warmer today and
tomorrow compared to yesterday. Temperatures are expected to
climb into the 80s each afternoon across much of the area. A cold
front that is expected to move across the region Wednesday will
bring another round of cooler temperatures late this week.
Precipitation is not expected with this boundary.

The weather pattern shown by the models for parts of this week is
of an upper ridge over the Central U.S. with an upper low moving
into the Ohio Valley. A shortwave rotating around this upper low
is what will cause the cold front Wednesday to move across the
area. Models show the upper ridge breaking down late this week
into the weekend with a longwave trough moving across the Western
U.S. over the weekend into early next week. Disturbances moving
through the upper flow could bring a small chance for a few
showers/storms to northern parts of the area this weekend. As the
main upper trough continues to move across the western U.S. and
approaches the area, showers and thunderstorms will remain
possible across parts of the fa early next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  80  56  86  53 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         81  55  87  53 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  79  55  88  55 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           84  54  86  50 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     83  55  81  50 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         80  56  88  55 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

30/11



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