Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 211939
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
239 PM CDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Beautiful day today across Oklahoma and western north Texas
as mild, dry air has overspread the Southern Plains.

Unfortunately, this moisture will begin to pull back north
on Monday, but not before another very cool August morning.
Models continue to slow down the northward transport of moisture,
keeping precip chances confined to southern parts of the area
through much of the day tomorrow.

Developing southwest flow and increasing moisture still expected
to result in precip chances areawide by Monday night into
Tuesday. However, chances do not look quite as high as they did
the last few days. Because of this, along with breezy
south/southwest winds, have raised temps a few degrees through
mid- week. Still appears that another cold front is on track to
drop south into the area Wednesday night. Much like the last
couple of fronts, models have backed off on
precip(chances/amounts) associated with the front.

Front stalls across Oklahoma Thursday and lifts back north
by Friday. Should be at least some scattered activity through
this timeframe, as descent southwest mid-level flow remains in
place with a few embedded shortwaves traversing the area.
However, not too excited about precip amounts through the second
half of the week. Expected front, cloud cover and precip should
keep temps remaining below normal through the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  60  88  71  90 /   0  10  40  40
Hobart OK         60  88  71  90 /   0  20  40  40
Wichita Falls TX  63  87  72  92 /   0  40  40  30
Gage OK           59  89  69  92 /   0  10  30  20
Ponca City OK     59  87  72  89 /   0   0  40  50
Durant OK         65  85  72  92 /  10  40  40  20

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

14/30



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