National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 250443
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1143 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013

.AVIATION...06Z TAF ISSUANCE...
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ACROSS SRN OK AND WRN N TX. CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPROVE FOR A BRIEF WINDOW OF TIME ACROSS WRN AND NWRN OK
OVERNIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS CONTINUES TO SHIFT EAST
WITH A DRY SLOT IMPINGING THE ERN PORTION OF THE TX PANHANDLE.
HOWEVER...CONVECTION ACROSS ERN NM WILL RESULT IN INCREASING
CLOUDS FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING AS THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS FURTHER EWRD. EXPECT CEILINGS TO REMAIN VFR
THROUGH THE MORNING...BUT A FEW LOCATIONS MAY DROP NEAR MVFR
THROUGH SATURDAY AS CLOUDS BUILD BACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH...BREEZY AT TIMES...WITH GUSTS
INTO THE 20 KT RANGE.

KURTZ

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 843 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013/

UPDATE...
UPDATED POPS AND TEMPS...

DISCUSSION...
MADE ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THIS EVENINGS POPS AS ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS WRN AND SRN OK AND WRN N TX. ON THE
WHOLE...RADAR TRENDS WOULD SUGGEST THAT STORMS ARE STARTING TO
WEAKEN SLIGHTLY NOW THAT THE SUN HAS SET. OVERALL...THESE UPDRAFTS
HAVE REMAINED SUB-SEVERE...ALTHOUGH ONE OVER ROGER MILLS COUNTY
AROUND 730 RESULTED IN A 64 MPH GUST AT CHEYENNE AND QUARTER SIZED
HAIL AT ROLL. EXPECT ANY ADDITIONAL UPDRAFTS THIS EVENING TO
REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...BUT 40 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS REMAIN
LIKELY...WITH SOME SMALL HAIL AS WELL. LOOK FOR ACTIVITY TO
CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE THROUGH MIDNIGHT...SO KEPT CHANCE TO SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS THROUGH 06Z. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS...AS
ADDITIONAL UPDATES MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY
06 TO 12Z TIME FRAME.

KURTZ

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  66  84  65  85 /  30  30  20  10
HOBART OK         65  86  65  90 /  50  20  20  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  66  86  66  91 /  50  30  20  10
GAGE OK           65  86  64  91 /  50  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     66  82  66  87 /  10  20  20  20
DURANT OK         66  82  66  86 /  50  30  30  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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