Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 022035
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
335 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A COOL...FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE EARLY WEEKEND...ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL
TURN BACK TO SOUTHERLY TOMORROW...LEADING TO A SLOW WARMING
TREND. AGAIN...ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE FAIRLY CLOSE TONIGHT
IN FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...WE DO NOT BELIEVE A FROST ADVISORY IS
WARRANTED.

DESPITE THE DRY AIRMASS NEAR THE SURFACE...THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH
LIFT TOMORROW WITH AN APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO SQUEEZE
OUT A FEW SHOWERS. INSTABILITY WILL BE RELATIVELY WEAK...BUT A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. SEVERE WEATHER IS EXTREMELY
UNLIKELY.

AS A LARGE UPPER/MID-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES NEXT
WEEKEND...RAIN/THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO RISE AGAIN. IT
IS ALWAYS DIFFICULT TO TIME THE ARRIVAL OF LARGE SLOW SYSTEMS LIKE
THAT...BUT ITS EFFECTS WILL PROBABLY BEGIN TO BE FELT IN
OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS SOMETIME ON SATURDAY. ALTHOUGH IT IS ALSO
DIFFICULT TO TELL THAT FAR OUT ABOUT THE VARIOUS SEVERE WEATHER
PARAMETERS...THINGS STILL LOOK LIKE THEY WILL NOT COME TOGETHER
FOR ANYTHING MAJOR THROUGH THE WEEKEND. NEVERTHELESS...A FEW
SEVERE STORMS CERTAINLY CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY OVER FAR
WESTERN OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  44  71  49  77 /   0  10   0   0
HOBART OK         43  71  47  79 /   0  30  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  46  73  50  80 /   0  10  10   0
GAGE OK           41  71  45  79 /   0  20   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     42  72  48  77 /   0  10   0   0
DURANT OK         47  72  52  79 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

17/23



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