Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 300505
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1205 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS...SCT TSRA WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF TERMINALS THROUGH
PERIOD. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST EARLY TUES...BECOMING ALMOST WESTERLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON BEFORE BACKING TO THE SOUTH LATE TUES AFTERNOON/EVENING.

AUSTIN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 900 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015/

UPDATE...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF THE
AREA. THE CHANCES FOR STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATE THIS
EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING. THE POTENTIAL FOR STORMS SHOULD
END BY AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH NO FURTHER DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT. MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS/WX TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT
ACTIVITY. UPDATES OUT SOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 236 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE IN THE SHORT
TERM...KEEPING TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY HOT AND FAIRLY DRY. WITH
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN THE AREA...HEAT INDICES WILL REACH INTO THE
TRIPLE DIGITS.

ENTERING INTO THURSDAY...THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN AS A
SHORT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH. RAIN CHANCES
WILL INCREASE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SO WE MAY SEE A FAIRLY
WET 4TH OF JULY. ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL BE IN PLACE FOR
A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS...BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED. THIS COLD FRONT WILL ALSO COOL THINGS OFF A BIT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BRINGING HIGHS DOWN INTO THE 80S.

AFTER THIS SYSTEM MOVES OUT SATURDAY NIGHT...THE RIDGE BEGINS TO
BUILD BACK IN...SIGNALING A RETURN OF HOT AND DRY WEATHER FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MAD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  96  74  95  74 /   0   0  10  20
HOBART OK         98  74  98  73 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  97  75  98  76 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           97  74  99  71 /   0   0  20  30
PONCA CITY OK     98  78  99  74 /   0   0  20  30
DURANT OK         95  72  94  73 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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