Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 052253 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
453 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.UPDATE...
INCREASED POPS FOR LIGHT RAIN THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RAISED POPS SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS ALL BUT FAR SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF
FORECAST AREA BASED ON CURRENT ATMOSPHERIC MOISTENING/COOLING
TRENDS AND HIGH-RES MODEL TRENDS. ALTHOUGH POPS WILL BE FAIRLY
HIGH...MOST RAIN ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE-TENTH OF AN
INCH WITH POSSIBLY NEAR ONE-QUARTER FAR SOUTHEAST WHERE SLIGHTLY
BETTER MOISTURE WILL RESIDE LATE TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 242 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

DISCUSSION...
A FAST-MOVING UPPER TROUGH WILL BRING A SMALL CHANCE FOR RAIN OVER
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. IF ANY RAIN OCCURS, SOME IN
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH SNOW. THIS SYSTEM WILL EXIT
QUICKLY AND LEAVE MODERATE NORTH WINDS IN ITS WAKE. THE NEXT WEEK
BRINGS GENERAL NORTHWEST FLOW AND A SERIES OF DRY FRONTS, THE NEXT
OF WHICH IS EXPECTED SUNDAY. GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
FOLLOW THIS ONE INTO MONDAY AND COULD RAISE WILDFIRE POTENTIAL
THAT AFTERNOON. ANOTHER DRY FRONT MAY PASS MID-WEEK BEFORE THE
NORTHERLY FLOW GIVES WAY TO WEAKER WESTERLY FLOW. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AROUND NORMALS UNTIL LATE NEXT WEEK WHEN A MILD WARMING
TREND STARTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  30  52  32  57 /  60   0   0   0
HOBART OK         29  53  30  56 /  10   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  31  55  31  60 /  10   0   0   0
GAGE OK           21  55  26  53 /  20   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     28  51  31  53 /  60   0   0   0
DURANT OK         35  53  34  60 /  60  30   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/11


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