Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
FXUS64 KOUN 231734
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1234 PM CDT Sun Oct 23 2016
Aviation discussion for the 18 UTC TAFs is below.
VFR conditions are expected to continue.
Surface winds will generally remain fairly light at most sites.
There is a chance for MVFR/IFR conditions with BR 09-17 UTC near
and north of KHBR-KOKC. Did not mention due to low confidence of
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1051 AM CDT Sun Oct 23 2016/
Updated sky forecast through 00Z. Also updated temperature/dew
point/wind based on current observation trends.
A mid-level shortwave trough across western Texas will continue
to lift northeastward today. Opted to increase cloud cover across
the southern half of Oklahoma and western north Texas to account
for the mid to high level clouds that are associated with the
Otherwise, the forecast is relatively unchanged for today. Expect
seasonably warm weather with temperatures in the upper 70s to low
80s. For most locations, winds will remain from the south;
however, a wind shift is expected to switch winds to the northeast
across far northwestern Oklahoma. No temperature gradient is
associated with the wind shift.
/issued 334 AM CDT Sun Oct 23 2016/
Increase in cloud cover, of the mid and high level variety, expected
across the region today and tonight as mid-level disturbance moves
out of northern Mexico and moves over the Red River Valley through
tonight. An the same time, and unrelated to the southern
disturbance, a weak cold front will move into northern Oklahoma by
afternoon and stall before lifting back to the north on Monday. We
do not expect any precipitation with the mentioned disturbance nor
the stalling front.
Lower level clouds will be on the increase late Monday and last into
Wednesday as lower level moisture increases ahead of incoming s/wv
trough and associated frontal boundary. Scattered showers and storms
will be possible late Tuesday through the first half of Wednesday
near and ahead of said frontal boundary. A few strong to severe
storms will be possible near front on Wednesday mainly over the
southeast-half of Oklahoma. No significant cooling behind this front
as mid-level ridging returns and southerly winds help keep
temperatures above average through next weekend.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 78 55 80 59 / 0 0 0 0
Hobart OK 78 55 81 60 / 0 0 0 0
Wichita Falls TX 80 58 82 60 / 0 0 0 0
Gage OK 82 49 82 57 / 0 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 81 52 79 59 / 0 0 0 0
Durant OK 78 58 81 58 / 0 0 0 0