Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 181659
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1159 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

.AVIATION...
MOST OF THE STRATUS DECK HAS CLEARED OUT...LEAVING CLEAR SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE GUSTY FROM THE
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1030 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...
AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS OFF TO THE EAST...SOUTHERLY WINDS
ARE RETURNING TO OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. AN AREA OF CLOUDS
REMAINS OVER SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND MUCH OF WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS...BUT WILL LIKELY DIMINISH SLOWLY WITH TIME...WHILE PARTIAL
CLOUD COVER SPREADS NORTH.

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THE FORECAST THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 621 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2014/

AVIATION...
MVFR CEILINGS WILL EXIST OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING AND
AREAS OF MVFR FOG IN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. LIGHT
NORTHEAST WIND WILL TURN TO SOUTH AND BECOME GUSTY IN WESTERN
OKLAHOMA DURING THE AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BEYOND
THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SUNNY AND WARMER WEATHER RETURNS TODAY. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL
APPROACH LATE SATURDAY AND BRING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE FOR RAIN
SUNDAY. INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL PROBABLY BE SUFFICIENT
FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS, BUT THE DRYLINE
WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE PANHANDLES. A FRONT MONDAY FOLLOWS THE
TROUGH AND BRINGS DRIER AIR. SOUTH WINDS AND TEMPERATURES INCREASE
MID-WEEK WHICH MAY LEAD TO HEIGHTENED WILDFIRE POTENTIAL WEDNESDAY
AND MORE LIKELY THURSDAY. ON THURSDAY AN UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED
TO APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND PUSH THE DRYLINE INTO OKLAHOMA.
THURSDAY IS LIKELY TO BE THE DAY WITH THE HIGHEST WILDFIRE
POTENTIAL OF THE WEEK. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS
SYSTEM ALONG THE DRYLINE AND THE FRONT THAT WILL PASS THROUGH
OKLAHOMA THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  78  59  77 /   0   0  20  40
HOBART OK         51  78  57  78 /   0  10  30  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  53  79  59  82 /   0  10  30  40
GAGE OK           52  78  56  79 /   0  10  30  50
PONCA CITY OK     52  80  60  78 /   0   0  20  50
DURANT OK         52  78  58  78 /   0   0  20  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

84/23/14


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