Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 241736
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1136 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. BREEZY
WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AROUND 00Z...BECOMING
LIGHT OVERNIGHT. A WEAK WIND SHIFT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION
FROM 06Z THROUGH 10Z...RESULTING IN SLIGHT VARIATIONS IN WIND
DIRECTION...THOUGH SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 10 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 555 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION...
24/12Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W/NW WINDS WILL INCREASE
WITH MIXING THIS MORNING MAINLY OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
TERMINALS. WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH AFTER 23Z.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 325 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WITH MIXING TODAY...WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE FOR SEVERAL
HOURS BUT SHOULD STAY WELL BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS ALTHOUGH SOME
GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH PROBABLE. STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED OVER AREAS
NEAR AND NORTH OF OKC. A DRY AND MILD WEEK IN STORE FOR THE
REGION...AND GIVEN LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODEL TRENDS...LATE WEEK
AND EARLY WEEKEND TIME PERIOD COULD BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE FOR LATE
NOVEMBER. FORECAST TEMPS WILL BE INCREASED ABOVE BLENDED MODEL
INITIALIZATIONS. MODELS SLOWING FRONTAL INTRUSION WITH
ESTABLISHMENT OF MORE PRONOUNCED ZONAL FLOW ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS. DEVELOPMENT OF WESTERN TROUGH LATE IN THE
WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK SIMILAR IN MODELS AS WELL...YIELDING MILD
CONDITIONS AND INCREASED RAIN CHANCES BEYOND THIS FORECAST
PACKAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  30  54  34 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         59  28  55  32 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  60  32  57  34 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           55  23  54  28 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     55  26  52  32 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         60  35  57  35 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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