Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 241725

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1225 PM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016

.SHORT TERM...(today through Wednesday)
Issued at 252 AM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016

High pressure ridge builds in over the central conus resulting in a
modest rebound in temps on Tuesday. By Tuesday aftn...sfc low
pressure strengthens over the cntrl plains in response to increasing
DPVA with the approach of a shortwave trof exiting the cntrl Rockies.
Strong bndry lyr theta-E advection ensues allowing MLCAPES to ramp
up to around 1500 J/KG. Expect TSRA then to develop along lifting
warm front within llvl theta-E convg zone. Tuesday night...pcpn
activity expands in areal coverage during the evening hours with
onset of llvl jet. As the sfc low lifts toward the upper midwest
early Wednesday...relatively weak cold air adv sweeps into the CWA
allowing for rapidly improving conditions with dry weather
continuing into Wednesday night.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 252 AM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016

GFS and ECM in agreement with showing no significant disturbances to
contend with during the extended pd due to low amplitude ridge
settling in over the conus..thus allowing for above normal temps to


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016

VFR conditions through the period, although clouds will be
increasing by 07-09z. Could also be a few sprinkles or light
showers at the TAF locations after 09z, and may consider adding
this to later TAF forecasts.




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