Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FXUS65 KGJT 051821
AFDGJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1121 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 217 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THE WEAK DISTURBANCE WHICH BROUGHT LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHWEST
COLORADO OVERNIGHT WILL BE QUICKLY EXITING THE REGION THIS
MORNING LEAVING A COLD -30C CORE OVERHEAD AND BREEZY CONDITIONS
IN ITS WAKE. WINDS WILL LIGHTEN UP THIS AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT EASES AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. MODELS
STILL INDICATE THE NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO MOUNTAINS GETTING
SWIPED BY A VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE ON SATURDAY EVENING...SO KEPT
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE FORECAST OVER THAT AREA FOR
OROGRAPHICALLY INDUCED SHOWERS. EXPECT WINDS TO PICK UP OVER THE
EASTERN UINTAS AND NORTHWESTERN COLORADO ON SATURDAY EVENING WITH
THIS PASSING DISTURBANCE FROM THE NORTHWEST. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 217 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

A STRONG RIDGE WILL BUILD ALONG THE WEST COAST AND EXTEND OVER THE
WESTERN GREAT BASIN. EASTERN UT AND WESTERN CO WILL BE UNDER THE
NW FLOW IN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A HUGE LONGWAVE
TROUGH WILL DEVELOP CONCURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S.
SAT NGT AND SUN VERY WEAK SHORTWAVES WILL BRING A BIT OF MID AND
HI CLOUD TO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN CO BUT NO PCPN IS EXPECTED
WITH THESE.

A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN MONDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY AS THE LARGE WESTERN RIDGE MOVES EAST AND BECOMES
CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN. TEMPERATURES SHOULD FINALLY RISE TO
NEAR NORMAL BY THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1053 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

LOW CLOUDS AND FOG HAVE LIFTED FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA
THOUGH SOME LOW STRATUS AND LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE...MAINLY
OVER NORTHERN AREAS OF THE FORECAST AREA AND THE UINTAH BASIN.
OUTSIDE OF THOSE AREAS...WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
SOME CONCERN WITH UINTAH BASIN AND FOG AND LOW CLOUDS CONTINUING
THROUGH THE DAY AND OVERNIGHT BUT NOT SOLD ON IDEA SO DID BREAK
THEM OUT FROM 20Z ONWARDS. OUTSIDE OF THAT...EXPECT SOME HIGH
THIN CLOUDS WITH MINIMAL AVIATION CONCERNS.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JAM
LONG TERM...CC
AVIATION...TGR


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