Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS65 KPUB 210543
AFDPUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1043 PM MST TUE JAN 20 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 819 PM MST TUE JAN 20 2015

MADE SOME MINOR UPDATES TO THE POPS FROM TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...ALONG WITH SOME SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
BASED ON THE LAST COUPLE RUNS OF THE NAM.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 608 PM MST TUE JAN 20 2015

ADDED SOME LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE TO THE FORECAST FOR EL PASO
COUNTY FOR THE EVENING HOURS...AS A COUPLE OBSERVATIONS SITES ARE
REPORTING FZDZ.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 350 PM MST TUE JAN 20 2015

...SNOW MOVING IN TONIGHT...

LITTLE TIME FOR DISCUSSION THIS AFTERNOON.  SNOW MOVING IN TONIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY...PERSISTING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...BEFORE
GRADUALLY DECREASING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  MOST AREAS
SHOULD SEE SOME SNOW...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OVER SOUTHERN
AREAS. SEE FORECAST FOR HIGHLIGHTS AND ALL THE OTHER DETAILS.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 350 PM MST TUE JAN 20 2015

PRIMARY LONGER TERM METEOROLOGICAL CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE
THE AMOUNT OF IMPACT THAT STORM SYSTEM WILL HAVE ON FORECAST
DISTRICT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

RECENT MID-RANGE TO LONGER TERM COMPUTER SIMULATIONS ARE
COMING INTO CLOSER AGREEMENT ON IMPACT THAT SYSTEM WILL HAVE OVER
SOUTHERN COLORADO INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS CLOSED UPPER LOW
CENTERED OVER FAR SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO AT 06Z THURSDAY DROPS INTO
WEST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO BY 18Z THURSDAY BEFORE MOVING INTO
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO BY 06Z FRIDAY. AT THE SURFACE...MOIST
UPSLOPE FLOW IS EXPECTED FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO AT LEAST EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING.

THE COMBINATION OF FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LONGER DURATION UPPER
SUPPORT(SUPPORTED PER PV ANALYSIS) AND LOW-LEVEL MOIST FLOW
WILL ALLOW RECENTLY ISSUED NUMEROUS WINTER WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS
TO CONTINUE OVER MANY SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST DISTRICT INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE SYSTEM DEPARTS CWFA BY LATER THURSDAY.

AT THIS TIME...HEAVIEST TOTAL SNOW WITH THIS EVENT PROJECTED
OVER SOUTHERN LOCATIONS AS WELL AS FAVORED HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS.
PLEASE VIEW NWS LATEST WINTER WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS AS WELL AS
GRIDS/ZONES FOR MORE DETAILED SNOW AMOUNT PROJECTIONS.

HAVE ALSO CONTINUED TREND OF INCREASING POPS AND DECREASING
TEMPERATURES FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

IT STILL APPEARS THAT AFTER THIS SYSTEM DEPARTS THE FORECAST
DISTRICT BY LATER THURSDAY THAT A RETURN TO WARMER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE NOTED FROM FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
AS NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW DEVELOPS.
ALSO...STRONGEST WINDS ARE STILL PROJECTED FROM LATER SATURDAY
INTO NEXT MONDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWFA.

COOLEST SURFACE TEMPERATURES DURING THE LONGER TERM SHOULD ARE
ANTICIPATED THURSDAY...WITH WARMING THEN EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY
OVER LOCATIONS DEVOID OF DEEPER SNOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1039 PM MST TUE JAN 20 2015

IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KCOS THRU MUCH OF THE NEXT 24
HRS WITH SNOW FALLING ACRS THE AREA. KPUB WILL SEE MVFR OR IFR
CONDITIONS THRU MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS SNOW FALLS ACRS THE
AREA. KALS IS EXPECTED TO HAVE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH ABOUT
MIDMORNING WEDNESDAY...BUT THEN THERE SHOULD BE SOME SNOWFALL IN
THE AREA WHICH WL CAUSE MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS THEREAFTER.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR COZ076>078-083>086-089-093-095>098.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR COZ058>063.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM MST THURSDAY
FOR COZ079-080.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM MST THURSDAY FOR COZ074-075-087-
088-094-099.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM MST THURSDAY
FOR COZ065>068-071>073.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR COZ081-082.

&&

$$

UPDATE...28
AVIATION...28


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.