


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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333 FXUS64 KLZK 062306 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 606 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Tuesday) Issued at 100 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025 Latest data from local radars indicate widely scattered (~20 percent coverage) across the eastern half of the forecast area, moving eastward. This activity has formed in an area of very weakly sheared, weakly forced, moderately unstable atmosphere. This activity is expected to decrease with the loss of solar heating. Slightly more widespread activity is expected for Monday and Tuesday afternoon and evening, with highest concentration of precipitation expected across northern sections of the forecast area. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday Night through next Sunday) Issued at 100 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025 A weak northwest flow pattern will be in place across the mid south during at the start of this forecast period, then will flatten as upper level heights increase. During the second half of the forecast period, a overall decrease in diurnally enhanced convection is expected, along with a slight warming trend. Would expect heat headlines during the second half of the forecast period. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 542 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025 VFR conditions to prevail outside of TSRA. TSRA converage (20-30%) will be in place between 19-24z (7th). && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 72 92 72 91 / 30 60 20 70 Camden AR 74 96 73 93 / 10 40 10 60 Harrison AR 70 88 69 86 / 40 50 20 70 Hot Springs AR 74 95 73 93 / 10 50 20 60 Little Rock AR 75 94 75 93 / 10 40 20 60 Monticello AR 75 95 74 93 / 10 40 10 60 Mount Ida AR 72 94 72 90 / 10 40 20 70 Mountain Home AR 70 88 70 88 / 40 60 20 70 Newport AR 74 94 74 93 / 30 40 20 60 Pine Bluff AR 75 94 74 93 / 10 30 10 60 Russellville AR 73 93 73 90 / 20 50 20 60 Searcy AR 72 93 73 93 / 20 50 20 60 Stuttgart AR 76 94 75 93 / 20 30 20 50 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...55 LONG TERM....55 AVIATION...55