Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 252327
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
627 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER ARKANSAS. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ARE
EXPECTED. PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTH IN THE MORNING.
SCATTERED CUMULUS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED...WITH SOME MVFR IN THE
MORNING IN THE NORTH.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 219 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT

THE GIST OF IT...DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...COUPLED WITH COOL MORNINGS AND BELOW NORMAL AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER TEMPERATURES WILL WARM SLIGHTLY BY
FRIDAY...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
RETURNING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE FRIDAY EVENING.

THE LONG OF IT...HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED OVER THE UPPER
MIDWEST...BUT STRETCHING SOUTHWARD INTO THE STATE...WILL BEGIN TO
SLIDE EAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY AND ESPECIALLY SO ON
THURSDAY AS THE LARGE SCALE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS BEGINS
TO LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST. MEANWHILE ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL TOP
THE RIDGE OUT WEST AND EJECT EAST FROM COLORADO ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS LATE THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY AND BRING A FRONT TOWARDS THE
STATE. THE FRONT WEAKENS AS IT NEARS THE STATE LATE FRI AND
HEADING INTO THE LONG TERM PERIOD THANKS TO THE WESTERN RIDGE
STRENGTHENING AND BEGINNING TO SHIFT EAST OF THE ROCKIES. BUT
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SOME RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST LATE
FRIDAY BEFORE SO HAVE LEFT SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST
DURING THAT PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM LATE THIS WEEK TOO AS
THE HIGH SLIDES EAST AND SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS TO THE STATE.
EXPECT HIGHS CLOSER TO NORMAL BY FRIDAY...WITH AFTERNOON READINGS
IN THE LOW 90S IN MANY PLACES.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STILL LOOKING AT LTL CHG IN THE OVERALL FCST TRENDS THRU THE PD. A
WEAKENING FNTL BNDRY IS PROGGED TO PASS THRU THE REGION LATE SAT
INTO SUN. SINCE THE FEATURE WL BE RATHER DIFFUSE ONCE IN MOVES INTO
AR...ONLY EXPECT AN INCSR IN CLOUDS WITH LTL IN THE WAY OF ORGANIZED
RAINFALL. TEMPS WL RMN CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS THRU THE PD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     58  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         61  89  63  89 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       57  84  57  84 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    62  89  63  87 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  62  87  62  87 /   0   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     61  87  61  86 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      59  89  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  57  84  57  84 /   0   0   0   0
NEWPORT AR        57  83  57  83 /   0   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     60  86  61  86 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   60  88  62  87 /   0   0   0   0
SEARCY AR         59  85  59  85 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      59  84  58  84 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51



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