Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 271153

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
653 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016


VFR conds wl prevail thru the pd. The exception early this mrng wl
be lake fog affecting KBPK with LIFR conds. Fog wl dissipate later
this mrng once low mixing commences. Mid and high lvl clouds wl
cont to shift SWD as flow aloft bcms NWLY today. Light winds this
mrng wl bcm W/NWLY arnd 5 kts in most areas. /44/ &&


SHORT TERM...Today through Wednesday Night

Sfc rdg contd to sag SWD into AR overnight. Seeing abundant mid and
high lvl clouds stream acrs the region. Predawn temps ranged fm the
upr 40s/lower 50s north, with mid 50s to mid 60s common elsewhere.

Models rmn in overall good agreement today. The upr low ovr the NRN
Great Lakes region is fcst to drop SWD towards the Ohio Valley
region in the coming days. The wl allow the upr flow to bcm NWLY,
shunting mid/upr lvl moisture/clouds to the S today and tngt.

Meanwhile, the aforementioned sfc rdg wl cont dropping SWD today
acrs AR today, eventually shifting S of the area tngt. High temps
today wl range fm the mid 70s to the lower 80s. As the rdg drops S
of the area on Wed, sfc winds wl veer to the W/SW ahead of another
fast movg CDFNT apchg fm the N, allowing for a good warm-up with
highs in the 80s. The fnt wl sweep thru the area by late Wed ngt,
followed by a reinforcing shot of cooler and drier air.

Long Term...Thursday through Monday

I`ll make this short and sweet. The long term looks to be dry with
perhaps some high clouds at times over the northeast half of the
state thanks to an upper low over the Ohio River Valley. This
feature will help generate persistent northerly flow across the
region, resulting in below normal temperatures Thursday through
Saturday before a slight warm up late this weekend into early next
week. All things considered the long term will be quite nice.


.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.


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