042
FXUS64 KLZK 242005
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
305 PM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 240 PM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

-Hot and humid conditions will persist through the weekend.

-Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be possible
 each day, with limited overall coverage.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 240 PM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

H500 ridge remains centered over the Central Appalachians this
afternoon with sfc ridging in a similar position. This is
providing above normal temperatures as well as increased humidity
across much of the eastern and southern US. Other than some
isolated afternoon showers and storms in place across the area,
limited relief from the heat is expected.

By mid-week, the H500 ridge is expected to retrograde WSW,
becoming centered over the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through
Thursday. This will further allow the heat to build and conditions
to remain unpleasant across much of the state and surrounding
areas.

There could be some disruption to the mid-level ridge by late week
as a slow moving H500 trough works its way northwestward from the
northeast coast of Florida. This feature will struggle to make
much westward progress toward the area and will likely remain
focused across the SE US. This would likely lead to the primary
H500 ridge being centered over Arkansas this weekend into early
next week. If this occurs it would lead to an even longer stretch
of above normal temperatures and humid air. An increase in precip
may be noted near the trough, but that would likely occur to the
southeast of the state.

There remains some indication in medium to long range model
guidance that the mid-level ridge could be forced SW, away from
the state by the early to middle part of next week. This would
occur in response to a stronger H500 low/trough moving from the
Northern Plains toward the Great Lakes. At the sfc, a
corresponding cold front may move through the area and could
provide slightly cooler temperatures next week. Will continue to
monitor to see if this trend persists.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

Generally VFR conditions expected through the period. Some
afternoon isolated showers/storms possible, with impacts to many
terminals unlikely. Winds will remain generally light/variable.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     76  94  76  95 /  20  10   0  10
Camden AR         74  96  74  96 /  30  10   0  10
Harrison AR       71  90  71  91 /  20  10   0  10
Hot Springs AR    74  95  73  95 /  30  10   0   0
Little Rock   AR  76  95  76  96 /  30  10   0   0
Monticello AR     76  96  76  96 /  20  10   0  10
Mount Ida AR      73  93  73  94 /  30  10   0  10
Mountain Home AR  72  91  73  92 /  20  10   0  10
Newport AR        77  95  76  96 /  20  10   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     75  95  75  95 /  30  10   0  10
Russellville AR   74  94  74  95 /  30  10   0   0
Searcy AR         75  95  75  96 /  20  10   0   0
Stuttgart AR      76  94  77  95 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT Friday for ARZ007-008-016-017-024-
025-031>034-039-042>047-053>057-062>069-123.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION....67
AVIATION...67