Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 290850
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
350 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT

SFC LOW PRES WAS CENTERED OVR SRN IL EARLY THIS MRNG...WITH A WEAK
FNTL BNDRY EXTENDING BACK INTO SWRN MO. A FEW SHRA/TSRA WERE NOTED
ACRS NRN AR DURG THE OVERNIGHT HRS. THE FNTL BNDRY WL EVENTUALLY
DROP SWD INTO AR TODAY BEFORE STALLING OUT. WDLY SCT CONVECTION WL
BE POSSIBLE MAINLY THIS AFTN ALONG AND S OF THE BNDRY.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM...A PERSISTENT NWLY FLOW ALOFT
WL BRING A SERIES OF UPR IMPULSES SEWD THRU THE REGION. THESE
FEATURES WL INTERACT WITH ABUNDANT LOW LVL MOISTURE TO PRODUCE
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SCTD CONVECTION ACRS THE FA. WHILE MOST OF THE
ACTIVITY WL BE PRIMARILY DIURNAL...THE POTENTIAL WL EXIST FOR MCS
FORMATION UPSTREAM THAT COULD IMPACT PARTS OF AR. AS A RESULT...KEPT
POPS MAINLY IN CHC CAT FOR MOST AREAS. TEMPS WL RMN NEAR SEASONAL
NORMS.
&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE WEST COAST TO BEGIN THE LONG
TERM PERIOD. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE OVER THE PLAINS FRIDAY...BUT AN
UPPER HIGH WILL BUILD OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THIS WILL FLATTEN
THE FLOW OVER ARKANSAS SATURDAY...AND THEN THE HIGH WILL BUILD
FURTHER NORTH OVER ARKANSAS SUNDAY.

A WEAK FRONT WILL STALL OVER ARKANSAS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SEVERAL
DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ALONG THE FRONT AND BRING CHANCES OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE BACK TO
THE NORTH SUNDAY AND RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44 / LONG TERM...51






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