Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 191036 AAA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
536 AM CDT MON SEP 19 2016


Updated to include the 12Z aviation discussion below...



Some dense fog is impacting some of the terminals this
morning...with LIFR conditions observed. This fog should dissipate
over the next few hrs...with VFR conditions for all sites expected
by midday. Winds will remain light...less then 10 kts. Winds will
become light and variable...or even calm again tonight. As a
result...some patchy dense fog will again be possible Tue morning.



SHORT TERM...Today Through Tuesday Night

Some patchy dense fog was being observed this morning as a result of
the rainfall observed on Sun. Some locations were seeing VIS
decrease to less than 1SM...especially over the far NWRN
counties...and some of the areas of the Ouachitas.
Otherwise...calm conditions were ongoing.

An upper level ridge of high pressure to the west of the state will
expand over the next few days...with increasing influence expected
for the CWA. As a result...expect highs to remain above normal
through the period...with highs in the 80s and 90s. Lows will also
remain above normal...with lows in the 60s and 70s. Precip chances
will remain limited as well...though cannot completely rule out any
afternoon convective activity. However...will keep silent pops at
this time. This trend will also continue into the long term

LONG TERM...Wednesday Through Sunday

Unless data changes, it looks like summer around here in the
extended period. A ridge of high pressure will be anchored over the
region, and that will be enhanced by a deep trough over the western
United States. As the trough digs, the ridge will become pronounced,
and will keep fronts/stormy weather mostly to the north and west of
the state.

As moisture increases toward the end of the period, cannot rule out
isolated thunderstorms during the heat of the afternoon and evening.
Otherwise, temperatures will be above to well above average, and
there will not be much rain.


.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.


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