Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KLZK 241923 CCA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
222 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2014

...CORRECTED LONG TERM DAYS...

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO TALK ABOUT IN THE SHORT TERM. ALBEIT
ONLY SLIGHTLY...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE ONGOING
HEATWAVE HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. THAT SAID...IT WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE STATE
THROUGH THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. MONDAY WILL BE ANOTHER HOT
DAY WITH READINGS IN THE UPPER 90S OR CLOSE TO 100 POSSIBLE FOR
MANY LOCATIONS IN CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS. TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WILL SEE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND ENOUGH LOWERING IN H5
HEIGHTS TO KNOCK AFTERNOON HIGHS DOWN SEVERAL DEGREES...OR IN
OTHER WORDS CLOSER TO NORMAL IN THE LOW TO MID 90S. WHILE PRECIP
CHANCES IN THE SHORT TERM WILL REMAIN LOW...LESS THAN 20
PERCENT...THE GRADUAL WEAKENING OF THE UPPER RIDGE WILL MEAN THAT
A FEW MORE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH SUCCESSIVE
AFTERNOON. ON MONDAY THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN THE
SOUTHEAST...WITH BROAD BRUSHED SLIGHT CHANCES IN THE FORECAST BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MOST PEOPLE WILL NOT SEE RAIN...BUT THE
CHANCES LOOK TO BE AT LEAST WORTH MENTIONING.

&&

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

UPPER RIDGE WILL STILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION AT THE START OF
THE LONG TERM PERIOD...KEEPING TEMPS AT OR ABOVE NORMAL AND PRECIP
CHANCES GENERALLY LOW. HOWEVER...THE STRENGTH OF THIS UPPER RIDGE
WILL BE LESS THAN SEEN THIS CURRENT WEEKEND...AND CURRENT TEMP
FORECASTS REFLECT SUCH DIFFERENCES. ONLY ISOLATED AFTERNOON
CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY IN THE PERIOD AS A RESULT OF THIS
UPPER RIDGE.

BY THIS COMING WEEKEND...THE UPPER RIDGE LOOKS TO SHIFT EAST...WITH
MORE OF A SWRLY FLOW EXPECTED OVER THE REGION. A WEAK TROUGH WILL
MOVE TOWARDS THE STATE SAT...AND GRADUALLY MOVE INTO THE  AREA BY
LATE IN THE FORECAST. AS A RESULT...DO HAVE INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR
A BIT MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FOR THE WEEKEND...AS WELL
AS KEEPING TEMPS AT OR FALLING BELOW NORMAL. HOWEVER...A SUBSTANTIAL
COOL DOWN WITH DRIER AIR DOES NOT LOOK VERY POSSIBLE THROUGH THE END
OF THIS FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     74 100  74  93 /   0  10  20  30
CAMDEN AR         73  97  74  96 /   0  20  20  30
HARRISON AR       71  98  73  92 /   0  10  10  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    73  97  76  94 /   0  10  10  30
LITTLE ROCK   AR  76  98  76  95 /   0  20  20  30
MONTICELLO AR     74  96  76  95 /   0  30  20  30
MOUNT IDA AR      69  97  72  94 /   0  10  10  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  71 100  72  95 /   0  10  10  20
NEWPORT AR        73  97  75  95 /   0  20  20  30
PINE BLUFF AR     74  95  75  93 /   0  30  20  30
RUSSELLVILLE AR   71  98  74  95 /   0  10  10  20
SEARCY AR         72  99  74  94 /   0  20  20  30
STUTTGART AR      74  97  76  92 /   0  30  20  30
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT MONDAY FOR ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-
BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-
DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-
NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SEARCY-SHARP-
STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...64 / LONG TERM...62










USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.