Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 192105
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
305 PM CST FRI DEC 19 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO REMAIN ALONG THE GULF COAST WITH A
LARGE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL OCCURRING WELL SOUTH OF ARKANSAS AND
SHUNTING SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE FROM MAKING IT TO THE STATE. THIS WILL
LIMIT ANY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL FROM OCCURRING TONIGHT AS UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH THE STATE. FOR TONIGHT...SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. WHILE CEILINGS WILL
LOWER ACROSS THE STATE. DO EXPECT SOME AREAS OF DRIZZLE TO DEVELOP
TONIGHT AS WELL AS SOME PATCHY FOG.

FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY NEAR ZONAL FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
REGION WITH CLOUDY CONDITIONS FORECAST TO PERSIST WITH NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

FOR MONDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEPART TO THE EAST AS SURFACE LOW
PUSHES EAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE NORMAL FOR
MONDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION MOVES
THROUGH THE STATE LATER IN THE DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL WIND UP OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST...WITH A
SECONDARY SYSTEM INTENSIFYING OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND
TRACKING TOWARD NEW ENGLAND. AFTER CHANCES FOR RAIN ON
TUESDAY...MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND THE DOUBLE BARREL SYSTEM MAY
RESULT IN A FEW FLURRIES IN THE OZARKS EARLY WEDNESDAY.

OTHERWISE...THE SYSTEMS WILL MOVE AWAY...WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS
ON WEDNESDAY AND CHRISTMAS DAY. SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE
FORECAST.

ON FRIDAY...AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL BE ON THE MOVE IN THE
PLAINS...WITH WARMING AHEAD OF THE FRONT/ABOVE NORMAL READINGS.
CLOUDS/CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA AHEAD OF THE
FRONT.

COLDER AIR WILL SPILL INTO THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE STATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. RAIN MAY CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW
IN THE NORTH/WEST BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     32  47  30  48 /  10  10   0  10
CAMDEN AR         37  51  34  53 /  20  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       33  45  33  48 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    36  49  33  50 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  35  50  33  50 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     37  50  35  53 /  30  10   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      33  50  30  51 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  33  47  33  49 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        32  48  31  48 /  10  10   0  10
PINE BLUFF AR     36  48  32  50 /  30  10   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   37  51  33  50 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         32  47  28  47 /  10  10   0  10
STUTTGART AR      36  48  32  49 /  20  10   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...65 / LONG TERM...46




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