Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 190809
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
309 AM CDT MON SEP 19 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)

The airmass over the Ozarks was fairly mixed this morning, which
mitigated fog development in most locations. We could still see
some valley fog, however, widespread fog is not anticipated at
this time.

For today, look for temperatures to warm into the upper 80s to
around 90. We could experience heat index values to approach the
mid to upper 90s this afternoon.

No precipitation is expected through tonight, as overnight lows
fall into the mid and upper 60s.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)

A large upper ridge of high pressure will build over the nation`s
midsection through the work week. This pattern will bring an
extended period of warm and dry weather to the Ozarks. Look for
temperatures to warm well into the 80s and even the lower 90s on
an afternoon basis.

While no preciptiation is expected through Friday night, by
Saturday or Sunday, we could see showers and thunderstorms
increase from the west.

The GFS and ECMWF suggest a long wave trough to approach, forcing
widespread rainfall through the area.

The models are quite a bit different tonight, suggesting that a
closed off low will not impact the Ozarks, keeping the wave open
in nature.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1141 PM CDT Sun Sep 18 2016

With the exception of some MVFR fog near sunrise across southern
Missouri and the branson terminal, clear to mostly clear skies
will prevail overnight and into tomorrow. Surface winds will be
light and southerly.


&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Hatch



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