Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 122015
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
315 PM CDT Thu Oct 12 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Broad region of sfc pressure falls noted across the Plains this
afternoon as sfc high slides eastward and warmer southerly winds
return. Thermal axis will expand eastward Friday providing
unseasonably warm temps. Low level moisture will also steadily
increase and, along with sustained winds overnight, maintain the
atypical warmth through Friday night. Another warm day is
expected on Saturday despite increasing cloud cover.

Focus by Saturday afternoon will be on the cold front extending
from NE Kansas into the northern TX Panhandle. Storms are expected
to develop along the boundary and increase in coverage through
Saturday evening. An initial bout of strong storms is likely
before precip increasingly becomes focused north of the sfc
boundary as the cold front presses quickly southeastward and
clears the forecast area by early Sunday morning. An axis of
locally heavy rain is possible across NE OK into far NW AR
Saturday night with precip expected to end from northwest to
southeast early Sunday. Noticeably cooler temps will follow the
front with temps returning to near seasonal normals for the first
part of next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   67  89  70  88 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   63  91  68  91 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   67  88  71  90 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   60  89  67  88 /   0   0   0  10
FYV   58  85  66  85 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   60  85  66  86 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   63  87  68  88 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   63  87  68  87 /   0   0   0   0
F10   66  88  69  88 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   64  89  68  90 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07



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