Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 272322
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
622 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Evening convection is likely to remain west of Eastern Oklahoma
sites given stabilized conditions from earlier convection. Frontal
boundary will approach NE OK tomorrow afternoon with an uptick in
convective coverage possible...however current timing suggests
minimal aviation impacts through this forecast cycle.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 308 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms that were across eastern Oklahoma earlier
Today have pretty well dissipated and should be completely gone by
00z. So, will not mention in evening portion of the upcoming zones.
Could see some late night showers and storms across portions of northeast
Oklahoma again tonight as a cold front advances into central Kansas.
Shower and thunderstorm chances increase Friday night into Saturday
morning as the cold front advances into the area and a mid-level shortwave
sweeps across the plains and into the Mississippi Valley.

For the remainder of the forecast period...high pressure is expected to
prevail at the surface and aloft. This will bring rather benign weather
to the area with temperatures near normal for this time of year.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  90  70  90 /  10  10  40  10
FSM   67  90  70  89 /   0   0  60  30
MLC   69  91  71  89 /   0   0  30  20
BVO   70  88  68  90 /  10  20  40   0
FYV   64  85  66  85 /   0   0  60  30
BYV   62  86  66  86 /   0   0  60  30
MKO   68  89  69  88 /  10   0  50  20
MIO   68  86  67  87 /  10  10  40  10
F10   70  91  71  89 /  10   0  40  20
HHW   67  93  72  91 /   0   0  20  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...07



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