Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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979
FXUS64 KTSA 292013
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
313 PM CDT THU SEP 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Expansive upper cyclone continues to wobble across the Ohio Valley
with a surface ridge poking through the Plains. The result has
been a pleasantly cool day...with low dewpoints and only a few
weak Cu in the cyclonic flow aloft. The upper system is expected
to remain quasi-stationary over the next 24-36 hours before
finally kicking north then east as the next system approaches the
west coast.

We`ll see another cool start to the day on Friday...with lows in
the 40s/low 50s. Expect a modest warming trend through the
remainder of the weekend...although dewpoints will remain low.

The aforementioned upper system will move onshore Sunday and
advance into the Rockies by Tuesday. Extended models continue to
differ in how much southern stream energy will eject
east...although latest GFS is coming around to the farther north
and more progressive solution of the ECMWF. Low-level moisture
will be on the increase by Tuesday and expect scattered convection
to move through the region later Tuesday night into Wednesday
before shifting east Wednesday evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   49  76  51  79 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   52  80  54  81 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   49  77  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   45  74  47  77 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   45  73  48  75 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   51  71  50  73 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   49  75  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   47  73  50  76 /   0   0   0   0
F10   50  75  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   52  80  53  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....18



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