000
FXUS64 KTSA 140240
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
940 PM CDT Sun Aug 13 2017

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Convective complex ongoing over TX Panhandle / SW OK will further
enhance a mid level vort max which is progged to translate
eastward overnight through the day on Monday. This feature, along
with continued upglide north of sfc boundary near the Red River,
will support more widespread convection across the area. Timing
and location of the more widespread precip varies among short term
solutions however the idea is consistent and seems reasonable,
thus precip chances were increased over western portion of the
forecast area for late tonight. For now chose to leave precip
chances for Monday unchanged however chances are likely to
increase during the day Monday for areas where trends become more
evident.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   69  87  74  91 /  20  40  50  30
FSM   71  86  73  90 /  10  50  50  40
MLC   71  86  76  90 /  30  50  30  20
BVO   66  86  72  89 /  20  30  50  30
FYV   64  83  70  86 /  10  40  50  50
BYV   65  85  69  86 /  10  20  50  50
MKO   69  84  73  90 /  20  50  50  40
MIO   65  86  71  87 /  20  20  50  50
F10   70  85  74  90 /  30  50  40  20
HHW   73  86  75  91 /  30  50  20  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07