000
FXUS64 KTSA 060857
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
257 AM CST THU MAR 6 2014

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT RAIN PERSISTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING...BUT AS EXPECTED...HAS BEEN
DECREASING IN COVERAGE DURING THE PREVIOUS COUPLE OF HOURS. AS A
RESULT...WILL NOT CARRY ANY POPS AFTER 12Z...BUT DEPENDING ON HOW
THINGS LOOK BEFORE ZFP ISSUANCE...MAY INCLUDE A PRE FIRST PERIOD
FOR ONGOING ACTIVITY.

TEMPERATURES TODAY SHOULD BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN
YESTERDAY...WITH FRIDAY FINALLY WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FOR
THE FIRST TIME IN A WHILE. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MAKE ITS WAY
SOUTHWARD TOWARD EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS FRIDAY
NIGHT...PUSHING THROUGH SATURDAY. ALONG AND POST FRONTAL RAIN
LOOKS LIKELY ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...WITH A QUICK
TAPER FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
WARM ENOUGH THAT THERE SHOULD NOT BE ANY THREAT OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION TYPES.

WINDS WILL QUICKLY RETURN TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION
SUNDAY...LEADING TO A QUICK WARMUP AFTER A COOL DAY ON SATURDAY.
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES /WELL INTO THE 70S/ STILL LOOK
LIKELY FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY...GIVEN THE FAVORABLE WESTERLY
COMPONENT TO THE LOW LEVEL WINDS. DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH MOISTURE
REMAINS IN AVAILABLE FUELS GIVEN THE RECENT PRECIPITATION...SOME
FIRE DANGER COULD RETURN BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY WILL PUT AN END TO THE VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES AND ALSO BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN. TEMPERATURES
BEHIND THE FRONT SHOULD BE RIGHT AT TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   51  33  64  37 /   0   0   0  30
FSM   53  31  63  40 /   0   0   0  10
MLC   52  33  64  41 /   0   0   0  10
BVO   50  30  62  35 /   0   0   0  30
FYV   49  28  61  36 /   0   0   0  10
BYV   48  29  60  35 /   0   0   0  10
MKO   52  32  63  39 /   0   0   0  20
MIO   50  30  61  35 /   0   0   0  20
F10   51  34  63  40 /   0   0   0  20
HHW   53  33  64  43 /  10   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....22